Grayscale Filecoin Trust Stock Technical Analysis
| FILG Stock | USD 1.29 0.20 13.42% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, Grayscale Filecoin retains the market risk adjusted performance of (0.38), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06). Our technical analysis interface lets you check existing technical drivers of Grayscale Filecoin Trust, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Grayscale Filecoin Trust standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis to decide if Grayscale Filecoin is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 1.29 per share. Given that Grayscale Filecoin Trust is a hitting penny stock territory we urge to closely look at its jensen alpha.
Grayscale Filecoin Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Grayscale, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GrayscaleGrayscale |
Grayscale Filecoin 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grayscale Filecoin's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grayscale Filecoin.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
Grayscale Filecoin Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grayscale Filecoin's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grayscale Filecoin Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 76.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.92 |
Grayscale Filecoin Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grayscale Filecoin's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grayscale Filecoin's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grayscale Filecoin historical prices to predict the future Grayscale Filecoin's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.39) |
Grayscale Filecoin February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.38) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.79 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,119) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.67 | |||
| Variance | 93.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 76.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.92 | |||
| Skewness | 2.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.63 |
Grayscale Filecoin Trust Backtested Returns
Grayscale Filecoin Trust holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.19, which attests that the entity had a -0.19 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Grayscale Filecoin Trust exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grayscale Filecoin's market risk adjusted performance of (0.38), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.25, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Grayscale Filecoin will likely underperform. At this point, Grayscale Filecoin Trust has a negative expected return of -1.27%. Please make sure to check out Grayscale Filecoin's standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Grayscale Filecoin Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Grayscale Filecoin Trust has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grayscale Filecoin time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grayscale Filecoin Trust price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Grayscale Filecoin price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.15 |
Grayscale Filecoin technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Grayscale Filecoin Trust Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Grayscale Filecoin Trust across different markets.
About Grayscale Filecoin Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Grayscale Filecoin Trust on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grayscale Filecoin Trust based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Grayscale Filecoin Trust price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Grayscale Filecoin Trust. By analyzing Grayscale Filecoin's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Grayscale Filecoin's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Grayscale Filecoin specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Grayscale Filecoin February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Grayscale help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grayscale from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Grayscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.38) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.79 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,119) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.67 | |||
| Variance | 93.49 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (1.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (2.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 76.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (11.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.92 | |||
| Skewness | 2.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 12.63 |
Grayscale Filecoin February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grayscale stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (6.67) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.87 | ||
| Day Median Price | 1.27 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 1.28 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.03 |
Complementary Tools for Grayscale Pink Sheet analysis
When running Grayscale Filecoin's price analysis, check to measure Grayscale Filecoin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grayscale Filecoin is operating at the current time. Most of Grayscale Filecoin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grayscale Filecoin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grayscale Filecoin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grayscale Filecoin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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