Provident Financial Plc Stock Technical Analysis

FPLPF Stock  USD 1.51  0.00  0.00%   
As of the 11th of February 2026, Provident Financial holds the Variance of 0.0273, coefficient of variation of 812.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0601. Provident Financial plc technical analysis gives you tools to exploit past prices in attempt to determine a pattern that determines the direction of the company's future prices. Please check Provident Financial plc variance and skewness to decide if Provident Financial plc is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 1.51 per share. Please also confirm Provident Financial plc information ratio, which is currently at (0.44) to check out the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Provident Financial Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Provident, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Provident
  
Provident Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Provident Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Provident Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Provident Financial's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Provident Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Provident Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Provident Financial.
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11/13/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/11/2026
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If you would invest  0.00  in Provident Financial on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Provident Financial plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Provident Financial over 90 days. Provident Financial is related to or competes with UTG, Saxon Capital, FNB Bancorp, Plains Acquisition, Tri City, Helios Fairfax, and California First. Provident Financial plc provides personal credit products to the non-standard lending market in the United Kingdom and t... More

Provident Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Provident Financial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Provident Financial plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Provident Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Provident Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Provident Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Provident Financial historical prices to predict the future Provident Financial's volatility.
Hype
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LowEstimatedHigh
1.341.511.68
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.341.501.67
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Provident Financial February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators

Provident Financial plc Backtested Returns

At this point, Provident Financial is very steady. Provident Financial plc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.13, which implies the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for Provident Financial plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Provident Financial's Variance of 0.0273, coefficient of variation of 812.4, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0601 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0217%. Provident Financial has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.0193, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Provident Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Provident Financial is likely to outperform the market. Provident Financial plc right now holds a risk of 0.17%. Please check Provident Financial plc variance, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Provident Financial plc will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Provident Financial plc has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Provident Financial time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Provident Financial plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Provident Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Provident Financial technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Provident Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Provident Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Provident Financial plc Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
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The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Provident Financial plc across different markets.

About Provident Financial Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Provident Financial plc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Provident Financial plc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Provident Financial plc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Provident Financial plc. By analyzing Provident Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Provident Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Provident Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Provident Financial February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Provident help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Provident from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Provident charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Provident Financial February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Provident stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Provident Pink Sheet analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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