First Real Estate Stock Technical Analysis
| FREVS Stock | USD 13.81 0.78 5.35% |
As of the 6th of February, First Real shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 3556.97, mean deviation of 1.6, and Downside Deviation of 3.77. First Real Estate technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First Real Estate variance and potential upside to decide if First Real Estate is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 13.81 per share. Given that First Real has jensen alpha of 0.0413, we urge you to verify First Real Estate's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
First Real Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Real 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Real's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Real.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Real on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Real over 90 days. First Real is related to or competes with Canadian Net, Ojai Oil, Sino Ocean, True North, Bridgemarq Real, Capital Properties, and Maxus Realty. First Real Estate Investment Trust of New Jersey is a publicly traded Its portfolio of residential and commercial proper... More
First Real Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Real's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0111 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.24 |
First Real Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Real historical prices to predict the future First Real's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0078 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0973 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Real February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1073 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3556.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Variance | 7.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0111 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0078 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0973 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.72) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2165 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.02 |
First Real Estate Backtested Returns
First Real appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. First Real Estate secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0906, which denotes the company had a 0.0906 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for First Real Estate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Real's Downside Deviation of 3.77, mean deviation of 1.6, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3556.97 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Real holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.66, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Real is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Real's jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether First Real's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.74 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
First Real Estate has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Real time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current First Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.71 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.23 |
First Real technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Real Estate Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Real Estate volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Real Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Real Estate on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Real Estate based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Real Estate price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Real Estate. By analyzing First Real's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Real's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Real specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Real February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1073 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3556.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Variance | 7.03 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0111 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0078 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0973 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.72) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2165 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.02 |
First Real February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | ||
| Day Median Price | 13.81 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 13.81 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.39) |
Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis
When running First Real's price analysis, check to measure First Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Real is operating at the current time. Most of First Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.