Guess Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| GES Stock | USD 16.81 16.80 280,067% |
As of the 30th of January, Guess retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0993, market risk adjusted performance of 44.75, and Coefficient Of Variation of 812.99. Guess technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Guess Inc information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if Guess is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 16.81 per share. Given that Guess Inc has treynor ratio of 44.74, we strongly advise you to confirm Guess Inc's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Guess Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Guess, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GuessGuess' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Guess Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 16.75 | Buy | 3 | Odds |
Most Guess analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Guess stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Guess Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Guess conference calls.
Is there potential for Specialty Retail market expansion? Will Guess introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. Market participants price Guess higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 1.125 | Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.072 |
Investors evaluate Guess Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Guess' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Guess' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Guess' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Guess 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guess' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guess.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guess on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guess Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guess over 90 days. Guess is related to or competes with Pet Acquisition, Carters, D MARKET, American Woodmark, Aeva Technologies, Accel Entertainment, and LGI Homes. , Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and ... More
Guess Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guess' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guess Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 27.21 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.123 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 280733.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5409 |
Guess Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guess' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guess' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guess historical prices to predict the future Guess' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0993 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 4245.64 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1808.58 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 156.22 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.74 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guess' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guess January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0993 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 44.75 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 8378.27 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 27.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 812.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 34556.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.19413548642E9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.123 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 4245.64 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1808.58 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 156.22 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.74 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 280733.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5409 | |||
| Downside Variance | 740.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | (4,005) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9,056) | |||
| Skewness | 8.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 66.0 |
Guess Inc Backtested Returns
Guess is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Guess Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.17, which attests that the entity had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 31.04% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Guess Inc Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0993, market risk adjusted performance of 44.75, and Coefficient Of Variation of 812.99 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Guess holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 95.0, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guess will likely underperform. Use Guess Inc potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to analyze future returns on Guess Inc.
Auto-correlation | -0.11 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Guess Inc has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guess time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guess Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current Guess price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.11 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.29 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 18.69 |
Guess technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Guess Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Guess Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Guess Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Guess Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guess Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Guess Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Guess Inc. By analyzing Guess's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Guess's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Guess specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2014 | 2020 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0281 | 0.28 | 0.0539 | 0.0422 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.56 | 0.22 | 2.44 | 2.57 |
Guess January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Guess help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guess from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Guess charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0993 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 44.75 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 8378.27 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 27.21 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 812.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 34556.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.19413548642E9 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.123 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 4245.64 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 1808.58 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 156.22 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.74 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 280733.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.5409 | |||
| Downside Variance | 740.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | (4,005) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9,056) | |||
| Skewness | 8.12 | |||
| Kurtosis | 66.0 |
Guess January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guess stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 2,802 | ||
| Day Median Price | 8.41 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 11.21 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 16.80 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 16.80 |
Additional Tools for Guess Stock Analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.