Simplify Commodities Strategy Etf Technical Analysis
| HARD Etf | 30.44 0.65 2.09% |
As of the 2nd of February, Simplify Commodities has the Semi Deviation of 1.4, coefficient of variation of 1141.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0678. Simplify Commodities technical analysis provides you with a way to harness past market data to determine a pattern that measures the direction of the etf's future prices. Please validate Simplify Commodities maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Simplify Commodities is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 30.44 per share.
Simplify Commodities Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Simplify, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SimplifySimplify | Build AI portfolio with Simplify Etf |
Understanding Simplify Commodities requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Simplify's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Simplify Commodities' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Simplify Commodities' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simplify Commodities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simplify Commodities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Simplify Commodities' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Simplify Commodities 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Simplify Commodities' etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Simplify Commodities.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Simplify Commodities on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Simplify Commodities Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Simplify Commodities over 90 days. Simplify Commodities is related to or competes with Teucrium Soybean, WisdomTree Emerging, Vaneck ETF, First Trust, IPath Series, Pacer Swan, and Research Affiliates. Simplify Commodities is entity of United States More
Simplify Commodities Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Simplify Commodities' etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Simplify Commodities Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0532 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 |
Simplify Commodities Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Simplify Commodities' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Simplify Commodities' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Simplify Commodities historical prices to predict the future Simplify Commodities' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0678 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0872 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2115 |
Simplify Commodities February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0678 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2215 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9719 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1141.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0532 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0872 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2115 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) | |||
| Skewness | (0.94) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.58 |
Simplify Commodities Backtested Returns
At this point, Simplify Commodities is very steady. Simplify Commodities owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0524, which indicates the etf had a 0.0524 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Simplify Commodities Strategy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate Simplify Commodities' Semi Deviation of 1.4, coefficient of variation of 1141.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0678 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0701%. The entity has a beta of 0.49, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Simplify Commodities' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Simplify Commodities is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.2 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Simplify Commodities Strategy has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Simplify Commodities time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Simplify Commodities price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Simplify Commodities price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.2 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.51 |
Simplify Commodities technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Simplify Commodities Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Simplify Commodities volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Simplify Commodities Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Simplify Commodities Strategy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simplify Commodities Strategy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this etf, focuses on Simplify Commodities price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Simplify Commodities. By analyzing Simplify Commodities's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Simplify Commodities's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Simplify Commodities specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Simplify Commodities February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Simplify help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simplify from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Simplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0678 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2215 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9719 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1141.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0532 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0872 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0413 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2115 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.34) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) | |||
| Skewness | (0.94) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.58 |
Simplify Commodities February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Simplify stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 322.99 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (2.10) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 30.40 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 30.41 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.28) |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Simplify Commodities Strategy. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Understanding Simplify Commodities requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Simplify's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Simplify Commodities' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Simplify Commodities' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simplify Commodities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simplify Commodities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Simplify Commodities' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.