Hercules Capital Stock Technical Analysis
| HCXY Stock | USD 25.26 0.13 0.51% |
As of the 26th of January, Hercules Capital retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0283, risk adjusted performance of 0.0062, and Downside Deviation of 0.9125. Hercules Capital technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Hercules Capital Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Hercules, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to HerculesHercules Capital's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hercules Capital. If investors know Hercules will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hercules Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 1.24 |
The market value of Hercules Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hercules that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hercules Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hercules Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hercules Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hercules Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hercules Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hercules Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hercules Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hercules Capital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hercules Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hercules Capital.
| 10/28/2025 |
| 01/26/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hercules Capital on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hercules Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hercules Capital over 90 days. Hercules Capital is related to or competes with Cohen Steers, FS KKR, Golub Capital, Federated Investors, Artisan Partners, AllianceBernstein, and Victory Capital. Hercules Capital, Inc., formerly known as Hercules Technology Growth Capital, Inc., is a business development company sp... More
Hercules Capital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hercules Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hercules Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9125 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.57 |
Hercules Capital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hercules Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hercules Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hercules Capital historical prices to predict the future Hercules Capital's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0062 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0183 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hercules Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hercules Capital January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0062 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6333 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8012 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9125 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 15737.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8712 | |||
| Variance | 0.759 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8327 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.642 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.73) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1075 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1649 |
Hercules Capital Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Hercules Stock to be very steady. Hercules Capital holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0187, which attests that the entity had a 0.0187 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Hercules Capital, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hercules Capital's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0283, risk adjusted performance of 0.0062, and Downside Deviation of 0.9125 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0156%. Hercules Capital has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.24, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hercules Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hercules Capital is likely to outperform the market. Hercules Capital right now retains a risk of 0.83%. Please check out Hercules Capital jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and rate of daily change , to decide if Hercules Capital will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.13 |
Insignificant predictability
Hercules Capital has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hercules Capital time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hercules Capital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Hercules Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.13 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.33 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Hercules Capital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Hercules Capital Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Hercules Capital volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Hercules Capital Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Hercules Capital on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hercules Capital based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Hercules Capital price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Hercules Capital. By analyzing Hercules Capital's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Hercules Capital's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Hercules Capital specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0938 | 0.0844 | 0.0735 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.51 | 8.64 | 6.9 |
Hercules Capital January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Hercules help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hercules from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Hercules charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0062 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0283 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6333 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8012 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9125 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 15737.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8712 | |||
| Variance | 0.759 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0122 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0183 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.39) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8327 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.642 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.73) | |||
| Skewness | 0.1075 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.1649 |
Hercules Capital January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hercules stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 25.26 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 25.26 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) |
Additional Tools for Hercules Stock Analysis
When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.