Innventure Stock Technical Analysis

INV Stock   3.67  0.14  3.97%   
As of the 24th of January, Innventure retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.074, downside deviation of 7.78, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2426. Innventure technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Innventure coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Innventure is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 3.67 per share. Given that Innventure has jensen alpha of 0.5775, we strongly advise you to confirm Innventure's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Innventure Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Innventure, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to InnventureInnventure's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Innventure. If investors know Innventure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Innventure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Innventure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innventure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innventure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innventure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innventure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innventure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innventure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innventure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innventure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Innventure 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Innventure's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Innventure.
0.00
10/26/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/24/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Innventure on October 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Innventure or generate 0.0% return on investment in Innventure over 90 days. Innventure is related to or competes with Dynamix, Solarius Capital, McKinley Acquisition, SWK Holdings, Noah Holdings, Oxford Square, and Ellington Residential. More

Innventure Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Innventure's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Innventure upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Innventure Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Innventure's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Innventure's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Innventure historical prices to predict the future Innventure's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.6713.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4212.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.7313.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.054.485.91
Details

Innventure January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators

Innventure Backtested Returns

Innventure appears to be dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Innventure holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0885, which attests that the entity had a 0.0885 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Innventure's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.83% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Innventure's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2426, downside deviation of 7.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.074 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Innventure holds a performance score of 7. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.52, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Innventure will likely underperform. Please check Innventure's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Innventure's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Innventure has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Innventure time series from 26th of October 2025 to 10th of December 2025 and 10th of December 2025 to 24th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Innventure price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Innventure price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.45
Innventure technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Innventure technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Innventure trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Innventure Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was thirty-six with a total number of output elements of twenty-five. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Innventure volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Innventure Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Innventure on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Innventure based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Innventure price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Innventure. By analyzing Innventure's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Innventure's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Innventure specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Innventure January 24, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Innventure help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Innventure from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Innventure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Innventure January 24, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Innventure stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Innventure Stock Analysis

When running Innventure's price analysis, check to measure Innventure's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Innventure is operating at the current time. Most of Innventure's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Innventure's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Innventure's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Innventure to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.