Lgi Homes Stock Technical Analysis
| LGIH Stock | USD 60.83 1.06 1.77% |
As of the 14th of February 2026, LGI Homes secures the risk adjusted performance of 0.1181, and Mean Deviation of 2.53. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check helpful technical drivers of LGI Homes, as well as the relationship between them.
LGI Homes Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as LGI, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to LGILGI Homes' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.LGI Homes Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 67.5 | Hold | 6 | Odds |
Most LGI analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand LGI stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of LGI Homes, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to LGI conference calls.
Is there potential for Household Durables market expansion? Will LGI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LGI Homes. Expected growth trajectory for LGI significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about LGI Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share 4.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets |
LGI Homes's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on LGI's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate LGI Homes' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since LGI Homes' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that LGI Homes' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LGI Homes represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, LGI Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
LGI Homes 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LGI Homes' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LGI Homes.
| 11/16/2025 |
| 02/14/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in LGI Homes on November 16, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LGI Homes or generate 0.0% return on investment in LGI Homes over 90 days. LGI Homes is related to or competes with Green Brick, Hovnanian Enterprises, Beazer Homes, American Woodmark, Fox Factory, Legacy Housing, and Xpel. It offers entry-level homes, such as attached and detached homes, and active adult homes under the LGI Homes brand name ... More
LGI Homes Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LGI Homes' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LGI Homes upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1174 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 |
LGI Homes Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LGI Homes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LGI Homes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LGI Homes historical prices to predict the future LGI Homes' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1181 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3748 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1793 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2641 |
LGI Homes February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1181 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2741 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 731.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1174 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3748 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1793 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2641 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.34) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.14 |
LGI Homes Backtested Returns
LGI Homes appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. LGI Homes has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating LGI Homes' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.53% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise LGI Homes' mean deviation of 2.53, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1181 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, LGI Homes holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.84, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, LGI Homes will likely underperform. Please check LGI Homes' total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether LGI Homes' current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
LGI Homes has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LGI Homes time series from 16th of November 2025 to 31st of December 2025 and 31st of December 2025 to 14th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LGI Homes price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current LGI Homes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.67 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 31.02 |
LGI Homes technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
LGI Homes Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for LGI Homes across different markets.
About LGI Homes Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of LGI Homes on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of LGI Homes based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on LGI Homes price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding LGI Homes. By analyzing LGI Homes's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of LGI Homes's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to LGI Homes specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0284 | 0.0468 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 1.28 |
LGI Homes February 14, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of LGI help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGI from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze LGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1181 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2741 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 731.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1174 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3748 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2161 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1793 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2641 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.7 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.34) | |||
| Skewness | 1.42 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.14 |
LGI Homes February 14, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LGI stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22,345 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.33 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 62.07 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 61.65 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.71) |
Complementary Tools for LGI Stock analysis
When running LGI Homes' price analysis, check to measure LGI Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LGI Homes is operating at the current time. Most of LGI Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LGI Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LGI Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LGI Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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