LightPath Technologies (Germany) Technical Analysis

LPZB Stock  EUR 11.10  2.10  23.33%   
As of the 20th of February, LightPath Technologies secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0791, mean deviation of 5.48, and Downside Deviation of 7.26. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of LightPath Technologies, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify LightPath Technologies downside deviation, standard deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and variance to decide if LightPath Technologies is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 11.1 per share.

LightPath Technologies Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as LightPath, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to LightPath
  
LightPath Technologies' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that LightPath Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LightPath Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, LightPath Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

LightPath Technologies 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LightPath Technologies' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LightPath Technologies.
0.00
11/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/20/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LightPath Technologies on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LightPath Technologies or generate 0.0% return on investment in LightPath Technologies over 90 days. LightPath Technologies is related to or competes with NVIDIA CORP, NVIDIA, NVIDIA, APPLE INC, Apple, Apple, and Alphabet. LightPath Technologies, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes optical components and assemblies More

LightPath Technologies Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LightPath Technologies' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LightPath Technologies upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LightPath Technologies Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LightPath Technologies' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LightPath Technologies' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LightPath Technologies historical prices to predict the future LightPath Technologies' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.2610.8518.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.598.1815.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.0812.6720.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.010.000.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LightPath Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LightPath Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LightPath Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LightPath Technologies.

LightPath Technologies February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

LightPath Technologies Backtested Returns

LightPath Technologies is relatively risky given 3 months investment horizon. LightPath Technologies has Sharpe Ratio of 0.19, which conveys that the firm had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.57% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use LightPath Technologies Downside Deviation of 7.26, risk adjusted performance of 0.0791, and Mean Deviation of 5.48 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. LightPath Technologies holds a performance score of 15 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0063, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning LightPath Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, LightPath Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Use LightPath Technologies standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to analyze future returns on LightPath Technologies.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

LightPath Technologies has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LightPath Technologies time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LightPath Technologies price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current LightPath Technologies price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.73
LightPath Technologies technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of LightPath Technologies technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of LightPath Technologies trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

LightPath Technologies Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of LightPath Technologies volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About LightPath Technologies Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of LightPath Technologies on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of LightPath Technologies based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on LightPath Technologies price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding LightPath Technologies. By analyzing LightPath Technologies's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of LightPath Technologies's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to LightPath Technologies specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

LightPath Technologies February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of LightPath help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LightPath from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze LightPath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

LightPath Technologies February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as LightPath stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for LightPath Stock analysis

When running LightPath Technologies' price analysis, check to measure LightPath Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightPath Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of LightPath Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightPath Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightPath Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightPath Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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