Lupatech (Brazil) Technical Analysis

LUPA3 Stock  BRL 1.19  0.01  0.83%   
As of the 4th of February, Lupatech secures the Downside Deviation of 2.94, mean deviation of 2.61, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0939. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lupatech SA, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Lupatech SA information ratio, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown to decide if Lupatech SA is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 1.19 per share.

Lupatech Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Lupatech, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Lupatech
  
Lupatech's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Lupatech's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Lupatech represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Lupatech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Lupatech 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lupatech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lupatech.
0.00
11/06/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lupatech on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lupatech SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lupatech over 90 days. Lupatech is related to or competes with PDG Realty, Positivo Tecnologia, Rossi Residencial, Eternit SA, and Gafisa SA. Lupatech S.A. supplies products and services primarily for the oil and gas sector in Brazil and internationally More

Lupatech Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lupatech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lupatech SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lupatech Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lupatech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lupatech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lupatech historical prices to predict the future Lupatech's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.196.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.155.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.075.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.791.111.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lupatech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lupatech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lupatech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lupatech SA.

Lupatech February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Lupatech SA Backtested Returns

Lupatech appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Lupatech SA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.12, which conveys that the firm had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Lupatech's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Lupatech's Mean Deviation of 2.61, downside deviation of 2.94, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0939 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Lupatech holds a performance score of 9. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0832, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Lupatech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Lupatech is likely to outperform the market. Please check Lupatech's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Lupatech's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.57  

Good reverse predictability

Lupatech SA has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lupatech time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lupatech SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Lupatech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.57
Spearman Rank Test-0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03
Lupatech technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lupatech technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lupatech trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Lupatech SA Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Lupatech SA volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Lupatech Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Lupatech SA on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lupatech SA based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Lupatech SA price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Lupatech SA. By analyzing Lupatech's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Lupatech's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Lupatech specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Lupatech February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Lupatech help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lupatech from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Lupatech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Lupatech February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lupatech stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for Lupatech Stock Analysis

When running Lupatech's price analysis, check to measure Lupatech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lupatech is operating at the current time. Most of Lupatech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lupatech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lupatech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lupatech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.