Microchip Technology Stock Technical Analysis
| MCHP Stock | USD 76.01 2.03 2.60% |
As of the 7th of February, Microchip Technology secures the Downside Deviation of 2.28, risk adjusted performance of 0.1005, and Mean Deviation of 2.18. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microchip Technology, as well as the relationship between them.
Microchip Technology Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microchip, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MicrochipMicrochip | Build AI portfolio with Microchip Stock |
Microchip Technology Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 86.88 | Strong Buy | 24 | Odds |
Most Microchip analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Microchip stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Microchip Technology, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Microchip conference calls.
Can Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Microchip have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microchip Technology. Expected growth trajectory for Microchip significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Microchip Technology demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Dividend Share 1.82 | Earnings Share (0.30) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.156 |
The market value of Microchip Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microchip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microchip Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microchip Technology's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Microchip Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microchip Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Microchip Technology's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Microchip Technology represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Microchip Technology's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Microchip Technology 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microchip Technology's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microchip Technology.
| 11/09/2025 |
| 02/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Microchip Technology on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microchip Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microchip Technology over 90 days. Microchip Technology is related to or competes with ASE Industrial, Astera Labs, Teradyne, Telefonaktiebolaget, Globalfoundries, Keysight Technologies, and STMicroelectronics. Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control soluti... More
Microchip Technology Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microchip Technology's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microchip Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 |
Microchip Technology Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microchip Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microchip Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microchip Technology historical prices to predict the future Microchip Technology's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1005 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2149 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0419 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2077 |
Microchip Technology February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1005 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2177 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 865.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2149 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0419 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2077 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.57) | |||
| Skewness | 1.58 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.53 |
Microchip Technology Backtested Returns
Microchip Technology appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Microchip Technology has Sharpe Ratio of 0.19, which conveys that the firm had a 0.19 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Microchip Technology's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.57% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Microchip Technology's Mean Deviation of 2.18, downside deviation of 2.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1005 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Microchip Technology holds a performance score of 14. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.68, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Microchip Technology will likely underperform. Please check Microchip Technology's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Microchip Technology's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.60 |
Good predictability
Microchip Technology has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microchip Technology time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microchip Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Microchip Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.6 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.6 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 22.65 |
Microchip Technology technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Microchip Technology Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Microchip Technology volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Microchip Technology Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Microchip Technology on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microchip Technology based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Microchip Technology price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Microchip Technology. By analyzing Microchip Technology's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microchip Technology's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Microchip Technology specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0187 | 0.0375 | 0.0431 | 0.0275 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.37 | 5.91 | 5.32 | 4.33 |
Microchip Technology February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Microchip help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microchip from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microchip charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1005 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2177 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 865.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0867 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2149 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0419 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.118 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2077 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.57) | |||
| Skewness | 1.58 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.53 |
Microchip Technology February 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microchip stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.61) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 75.04 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 75.36 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.32 |
Additional Tools for Microchip Stock Analysis
When running Microchip Technology's price analysis, check to measure Microchip Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microchip Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Microchip Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microchip Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microchip Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microchip Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.