MICROCHIP TECH (Germany) Technical Analysis

MCP Stock  EUR 66.10  1.24  1.84%   
As of the 16th of February 2026, MICROCHIP TECH owns the Semi Deviation of 1.38, mean deviation of 2.07, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.9582. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check helpful technical drivers of MICROCHIP TECH, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify MICROCHIP TECH information ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio to decide if MICROCHIP TECH is priced fairly, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 66.1 per share.

MICROCHIP TECH Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as MICROCHIP, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MICROCHIP
  
MICROCHIP TECH's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that MICROCHIP TECH's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MICROCHIP TECH represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, MICROCHIP TECH's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

MICROCHIP TECH 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MICROCHIP TECH's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MICROCHIP TECH.
0.00
11/18/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/16/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MICROCHIP TECH on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MICROCHIP TECH or generate 0.0% return on investment in MICROCHIP TECH over 90 days. MICROCHIP TECH is related to or competes with Abbott Laboratories, Advanced Micro, Philip Morris, BANK OF CHINA, TotalEnergies, Amgen, and HSBC HLDG. MICROCHIP TECH is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on HM exchange. More

MICROCHIP TECH Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MICROCHIP TECH's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MICROCHIP TECH upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MICROCHIP TECH Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MICROCHIP TECH's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MICROCHIP TECH's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MICROCHIP TECH historical prices to predict the future MICROCHIP TECH's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.4767.2770.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.4971.9074.70
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MICROCHIP TECH February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

MICROCHIP TECH Backtested Returns

MICROCHIP TECH appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. MICROCHIP TECH retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.26, which conveys that the firm had a 0.26 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By examining MICROCHIP TECH's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise MICROCHIP TECH's Semi Deviation of 1.38, market risk adjusted performance of 0.9582, and Mean Deviation of 2.07 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, MICROCHIP TECH holds a performance score of 20. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.61, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, MICROCHIP TECH's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MICROCHIP TECH is expected to be smaller as well. Please check MICROCHIP TECH's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether MICROCHIP TECH's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

MICROCHIP TECH has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MICROCHIP TECH time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MICROCHIP TECH price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current MICROCHIP TECH price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.49
MICROCHIP TECH technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of MICROCHIP TECH technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of MICROCHIP TECH trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

MICROCHIP TECH Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for MICROCHIP TECH across different markets.

About MICROCHIP TECH Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of MICROCHIP TECH on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MICROCHIP TECH based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on MICROCHIP TECH price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding MICROCHIP TECH. By analyzing MICROCHIP TECH's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MICROCHIP TECH's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to MICROCHIP TECH specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

MICROCHIP TECH February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of MICROCHIP help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MICROCHIP from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze MICROCHIP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

MICROCHIP TECH February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MICROCHIP stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in MICROCHIP Stock

MICROCHIP TECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether MICROCHIP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MICROCHIP with respect to the benefits of owning MICROCHIP TECH security.