Mfs Commodity Strategy Fund Technical Analysis

MCSHX Fund  USD 3.88  0.09  2.37%   
As of the 5th of February, Mfs Commodity secures the Mean Deviation of 0.9305, downside deviation of 1.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1121. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Mfs Commodity Strategy, as well as the relationship between them.

Mfs Commodity Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Mfs, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Mfs
  
Mfs Commodity's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Mfs Commodity's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mfs Commodity represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mfs Commodity's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Mfs Commodity 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Commodity's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Commodity.
0.00
11/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Commodity on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Commodity Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Commodity over 90 days. Mfs Commodity is related to or competes with Rbc Emerging, T Rowe, Transamerica Emerging, and Locorr Long/short. The fund seeks to achieve the funds objective by providing exposure to the commodities markets through investing in comm... More

Mfs Commodity Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Commodity's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Commodity Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Commodity Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Commodity's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Commodity's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Commodity historical prices to predict the future Mfs Commodity's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.553.885.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.223.554.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.503.825.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.523.814.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs Commodity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs Commodity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs Commodity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs Commodity Strategy.

Mfs Commodity February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Mfs Commodity Strategy Backtested Returns

Mfs Commodity appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Mfs Commodity Strategy has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the entity had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mfs Commodity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please exercise Mfs Commodity's Mean Deviation of 0.9305, downside deviation of 1.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1121 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0806, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Commodity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Commodity is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.47  

Average predictability

Mfs Commodity Strategy has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Commodity time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Commodity Strategy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Mfs Commodity price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.47
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02
Mfs Commodity technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mfs Commodity technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mfs Commodity trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Mfs Commodity Strategy Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Mfs Commodity Strategy volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Mfs Commodity Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Mfs Commodity Strategy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mfs Commodity Strategy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Mfs Commodity Strategy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Mfs Commodity Strategy. By analyzing Mfs Commodity's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Mfs Commodity's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Mfs Commodity specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Mfs Commodity February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Mfs help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Mfs Commodity February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mfs stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Commodity security.
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