Melcor Developments Stock Technical Analysis

MODVF Stock  USD 11.88  0.12  1.00%   
As of the 5th of February, Melcor Developments secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.16, mean deviation of 0.5391, and Downside Deviation of 1.46. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Melcor Developments, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Melcor Developments jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Melcor Developments is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 11.88 per share. Given that Melcor Developments has jensen alpha of 0.1777, we recommend you to check Melcor Developments's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Melcor Developments Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Melcor, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Melcor
  
Melcor Developments' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Melcor Developments' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Melcor Developments represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Melcor Developments' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Melcor Developments 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Melcor Developments' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Melcor Developments.
0.00
11/07/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Melcor Developments on November 7, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Melcor Developments or generate 0.0% return on investment in Melcor Developments over 90 days. Melcor Developments is related to or competes with Ayala Land, Wall Financial, Agile Group, Mediterranean Towers, LSL Property, Guangzhou, and Plaza Retail. Melcor Developments Ltd. operates as a real estate development company in the United States and Canada More

Melcor Developments Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Melcor Developments' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Melcor Developments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Melcor Developments Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Melcor Developments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Melcor Developments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Melcor Developments historical prices to predict the future Melcor Developments' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Melcor Developments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9711.8812.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6913.4414.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0411.9412.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4311.2111.99
Details

Melcor Developments February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Melcor Developments Backtested Returns

Melcor Developments appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Melcor Developments has Sharpe Ratio of 0.29, which conveys that the firm had a 0.29 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Melcor Developments, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Melcor Developments' Downside Deviation of 1.46, risk adjusted performance of 0.16, and Mean Deviation of 0.5391 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Melcor Developments holds a performance score of 23. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Melcor Developments' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Melcor Developments is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Melcor Developments' potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Melcor Developments' current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.56  

Modest predictability

Melcor Developments has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Melcor Developments time series from 7th of November 2025 to 22nd of December 2025 and 22nd of December 2025 to 5th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Melcor Developments price movement. The serial correlation of 0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Melcor Developments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16
Melcor Developments technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Melcor Developments technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Melcor Developments trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Melcor Developments Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Melcor Developments volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Melcor Developments Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Melcor Developments on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Melcor Developments based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Melcor Developments price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Melcor Developments. By analyzing Melcor Developments's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Melcor Developments's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Melcor Developments specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Melcor Developments February 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Melcor help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Melcor from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Melcor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Melcor Developments February 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Melcor stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Melcor Pink Sheet analysis

When running Melcor Developments' price analysis, check to measure Melcor Developments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Melcor Developments is operating at the current time. Most of Melcor Developments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Melcor Developments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Melcor Developments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Melcor Developments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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