Merck (Brazil) Technical Analysis

MRCK34 Stock  BRL 79.48  1.95  2.52%   
As of the 16th of February 2026, Merck secures the Mean Deviation of 1.6, downside deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2251. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Merck, as well as the relationship between them.

Merck Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Merck, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Merck
  
Merck's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Merck's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merck represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Merck's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Merck 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merck's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merck.
0.00
11/18/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/16/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Merck on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merck Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merck over 90 days. Merck is related to or competes with AbbVie, and Biogen. It operates through four segments Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances More

Merck Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merck's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merck Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Merck Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merck's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merck's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merck historical prices to predict the future Merck's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5979.4881.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5388.5090.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Merck. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Merck's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Merck's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Merck.

Merck February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

Merck Backtested Returns

Merck appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Merck has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the firm had a 0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Merck, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Merck's Downside Deviation of 1.43, risk adjusted performance of 0.2251, and Mean Deviation of 1.6 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Merck holds a performance score of 15. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0486, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merck's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merck is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merck's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Merck's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Merck Co has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merck time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merck price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Merck price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.84
Merck technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Merck technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Merck trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Merck Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Merck volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Merck Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Merck Co on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merck Co based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Merck price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Merck. By analyzing Merck's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merck's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Merck specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Merck February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Merck help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merck from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Merck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Merck February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Merck stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Merck Stock analysis

When running Merck's price analysis, check to measure Merck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merck is operating at the current time. Most of Merck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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