Msa Safety Stock Technical Analysis
| MSA Stock | USD 181.31 4.16 2.35% |
As of the 2nd of February, MSA Safety owns the Downside Deviation of 1.67, market risk adjusted performance of 0.16, and Mean Deviation of 1.26. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check practical technical drivers of MSA Safety, as well as the relationship between them.
MSA Safety Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as MSA, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MSAMSA Safety's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.MSA Safety Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 189.5 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most MSA analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand MSA stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of MSA Safety, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to MSA conference calls.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSA Safety. Expected growth trajectory for MSA significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive MSA Safety assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.047 | Dividend Share 2.08 | Earnings Share 7.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
Investors evaluate MSA Safety using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MSA Safety's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MSA Safety's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MSA Safety's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MSA Safety represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MSA Safety's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
MSA Safety 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MSA Safety's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MSA Safety.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MSA Safety on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSA Safety or generate 0.0% return on investment in MSA Safety over 90 days. MSA Safety is related to or competes with Resideo Technologies, ADT, Fortune Brands, Middleby Corp, FTI Consulting, GATX, and Kirby. MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products that protect people and facility infrastruc... More
MSA Safety Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MSA Safety's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSA Safety upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0742 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 |
MSA Safety Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MSA Safety's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MSA Safety's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MSA Safety historical prices to predict the future MSA Safety's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0838 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1209 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0662 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0768 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.15 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MSA Safety's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MSA Safety February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0838 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.16 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 938.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0742 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1209 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0662 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0768 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.15 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) | |||
| Skewness | (0.69) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.64 |
MSA Safety Backtested Returns
MSA Safety appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. MSA Safety retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which conveys that the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for MSA Safety, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise MSA Safety's Downside Deviation of 1.67, market risk adjusted performance of 0.16, and Mean Deviation of 1.26 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, MSA Safety holds a performance score of 13. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.16, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MSA Safety will likely underperform. Please check MSA Safety's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether MSA Safety's current price history will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.54 |
Modest predictability
MSA Safety has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MSA Safety time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSA Safety price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current MSA Safety price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.4 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 71.89 |
MSA Safety technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
MSA Safety Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for MSA Safety across different markets.
About MSA Safety Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of MSA Safety on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of MSA Safety based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on MSA Safety price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding MSA Safety. By analyzing MSA Safety's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MSA Safety's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to MSA Safety specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0111 | 0.0121 | 0.0139 | 0.0132 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.71 | 3.61 | 3.25 | 3.41 |
MSA Safety February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of MSA help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MSA from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze MSA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0838 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.16 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 938.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0742 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1209 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0662 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0768 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.15 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.36 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) | |||
| Skewness | (0.69) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.64 |
MSA Safety February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MSA stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4,194 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.70 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 178.45 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 179.40 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.94 |
Complementary Tools for MSA Stock analysis
When running MSA Safety's price analysis, check to measure MSA Safety's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MSA Safety is operating at the current time. Most of MSA Safety's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MSA Safety's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MSA Safety's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MSA Safety to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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