Microsoft (Germany) Technical Analysis
| MSF Stock | EUR 354.50 46.40 11.57% |
As of the 31st of January, Microsoft secures the Standard Deviation of 2.06, mean deviation of 1.22, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microsoft, as well as the relationship between them.
Microsoft Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microsoft, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MicrosoftMicrosoft |
Microsoft 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Microsoft's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Microsoft.
| 11/02/2025 |
| 01/31/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Microsoft on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Microsoft or generate 0.0% return on investment in Microsoft over 90 days. Microsoft is related to or competes with GEAR4MUSIC, JD SPORTS, Zoom Video, STMicroelectronics, and Methode Electronics. More
Microsoft Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Microsoft's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Microsoft upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.42 |
Microsoft Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Microsoft's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Microsoft's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Microsoft historical prices to predict the future Microsoft's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.43) |
Microsoft January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.42) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (552.37) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.43) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.42 | |||
| Skewness | (2.53) | |||
| Kurtosis | 14.54 |
Microsoft Backtested Returns
Microsoft has Sharpe Ratio of -0.18, which conveys that the firm had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Microsoft exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Microsoft's Mean Deviation of 1.22, risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Standard Deviation of 2.06 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Microsoft's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Microsoft is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Microsoft has a negative expected return of -0.37%. Please make sure to verify Microsoft's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if Microsoft performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.46 |
Average predictability
Microsoft has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Microsoft time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Microsoft price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Microsoft price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.46 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 251.45 |
Microsoft technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Microsoft Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Microsoft volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Microsoft Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Microsoft on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Microsoft price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Microsoft. By analyzing Microsoft's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Microsoft specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Microsoft January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Microsoft help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.42) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (552.37) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.21) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.39) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.53) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.43) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.98 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.42 | |||
| Skewness | (2.53) | |||
| Kurtosis | 14.54 |
Microsoft January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.07 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 367.08 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 362.88 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (17.72) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 26.85 |
Complementary Tools for Microsoft Stock analysis
When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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