Needham Small Cap Fund Technical Analysis

NESGX Fund  USD 23.05  0.15  0.65%   
As of the 26th of January, Needham Small secures the Downside Deviation of 2.22, risk adjusted performance of 0.0595, and Mean Deviation of 1.5. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Needham Small Cap, as well as the relationship between them.

Needham Small Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Needham, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Needham
  
Needham Small's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Needham Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Needham Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Needham Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Needham Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Needham Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Needham Small.
0.00
10/28/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/26/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Needham Small on October 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Needham Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Needham Small over 90 days. Needham Small is related to or competes with Needham Growth, Mainstay Epoch, Amg Renaissance, Jensen Quality, Amana Developing, Amana Developing, and Tidal Trust. The investment seeks long-term, tax-efficient capital appreciation More

Needham Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Needham Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Needham Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Needham Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Needham Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Needham Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Needham Small historical prices to predict the future Needham Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0723.0525.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.5422.5224.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.3624.3326.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8121.9724.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Needham Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Needham Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Needham Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Needham Small Cap.

Needham Small January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators

Needham Small Cap Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Needham Mutual Fund to be very steady. Needham Small Cap has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0725, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0725 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Needham Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Needham Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0595, mean deviation of 1.5, and Downside Deviation of 2.22 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.7, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Needham Small will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Needham Small Cap has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Needham Small time series from 28th of October 2025 to 12th of December 2025 and 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Needham Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Needham Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.22
Needham Small technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Needham Small technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Needham Small trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Needham Small Cap Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Needham Small Cap volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Needham Small Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Needham Small Cap on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Needham Small Cap based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Needham Small Cap price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Needham Small Cap. By analyzing Needham Small's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Needham Small's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Needham Small specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Needham Small January 26, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Needham help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Needham from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Needham charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Needham Small January 26, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Needham stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in Needham Mutual Fund

Needham Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Needham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Needham with respect to the benefits of owning Needham Small security.
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