Blue Owl Capital Stock Technical Analysis

OBDC Stock

11.39 -0.37 -3.15%

Blue Owl's chart is summarized here using the indicators commonly applied to chart-based analysis. Higher-timeframe trends provide context for shorter-timeframe signals.

As of the 7th of May, the last recorded price for Blue Owl is 11.39 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect Downside Deviation of 1.75, risk adjusted performance of 0.0615, and Mean Deviation of 1.47. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.

Blue Owl Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Blue Owl, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Blue Owl

Blue Owl's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help identify potential trend changes using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Blue Owl Capital's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Blue Owl's balance sheet. Blue Owl's market capitalization is 5.86 billion. A P/B ratio of 0.8 suggests Blue Owl trades near or below book value. Enterprise value (TTM) stands at 14.67 billion. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value.

Note that Blue Owl's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Blue Owl, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 0.8, a profit margin of 33.89%, ROE of 9.4%, and revenue of 1.68 billion.

What-If Analysis

What-if analysis for Blue Owl Capital is essentially a historical sensitivity test that shows how changes in the investment horizon could have altered realized return, drawdown, and timing outcomes. This becomes more informative when investors use the backtest to challenge timing assumptions rather than to search for a perfect historical entry point.

0.00

02/06/2026

No Change 0.00

0.0

In 3 months and 1 day

05/07/2026

0.00

Allocating 0.00 to Blue Owl on February 6, 2026 and holding to today would realize 0.00 in aggregate gains. The result is a 0.0% net return in Blue Owl on balance measured over 90 days. Blue Owl's competitive landscape includes Blue Owl, OneMain Holdings, SLM Corp, FirstCash, Marathon Digital, Synchrony Financial, and Prospect Capital. More

Blue Owl Momentum Range Indicators Signals

The momentum profile for Blue Owl describes how price movement distributes across upside and downside channels. Current price is compared to recent trend direction and momentum readings.

	Downside Deviation	1.75
	Information Ratio	0.0504
	Maximum Drawdown	8.65
	Value At Risk	-2.95
	Potential Upside	3.75

Market Risk Indicators for Blue Owl Summary

Return variability and drawdown behavior for Blue Owl are summarized through these risk indicators. Standard deviation of returns over multiple windows measures the magnitude of typical price swings.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0615
	Jensen Alpha	0.0949
	Total Risk Alpha	0.0901
	Sortino Ratio	0.0546
	Treynor Ratio	0.0941

Mean reversion setups in Blue Owl emerge when price has deviated materially from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Blue Owl. Prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions, creating mean reversion opportunities in Blue Owl. The mean reversion signal gains reliability when combined with fundamental confirmation for Blue Owl.

Sentiment

Range

Low	Sentiment	High
9.64	11.42	13.20

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Intrinsic	High
10.25	14.48	16.26

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
9.67	11.45	13.24

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
10.67	11.39	12.11

Details

This analysis measures Blue Owl's competitive standing across key financial and valuation dimensions. Relative margins, returns, and growth rates indicate whether Blue Owl's valuation reflects competitive positioning. Relative performance on margins and returns indicates whether the current valuation premium or discount is justified. Competitive standing on returns, margins, and growth relative to peers frames Blue Owl's current market pricing.

Technical Indicators

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0615
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1041
	Mean Deviation	1.47
	Semi Deviation	1.63
	Downside Deviation	1.75
	Coefficient Of Variation	1706.06
	Standard Deviation	1.89
	Variance	3.57
	Information Ratio	0.0504
	Jensen Alpha	0.0949
	Total Risk Alpha	0.0901
	Sortino Ratio	0.0546
	Treynor Ratio	0.0941
	Maximum Drawdown	8.65
	Value At Risk	-2.95
	Potential Upside	3.75
	Downside Variance	3.05
	Semi Variance	2.66
	Expected Short fall	-1.57
	Skewness	0.4048
	Kurtosis	0.3439

Blue Owl Capital Backtested Returns

Over the selected 3 months, Blue Owl demonstrates a low volatility profile. It exhibits a Sharpe Ratio (Efficiency) of 0.0341, indicating risk-adjusted returns over the last 3 months. Technical screening detected twenty-nine indicators influencing risk dynamics. Please analyze metrics such as Downside Deviation of 1.75, risk-adjusted performance of 0.0615, and mean deviation of 1.47 to assess dispersion and downside exposure. Blue Owl has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a beta of 1.07, which signifies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. With a beta near 1, Blue Owl tends to mirror market movements with minimal deviation in either direction. Blue Owl Capital right now secures a risk of 1.78%.

Auto-correlation

-0.49

Modest reverse predictability

Blue Owl Capital exhibits modest reverse predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between Blue Owl time series from 6th of February 2026 to 23rd of March 2026 and from 23rd of March 2026 to 7th of May 2026. Persistent correlation between intervals suggests underlying momentum patterns in Blue Owl that may carry forward. The measured coefficient of -0.49 means about 49.0% of Blue Owl's recent price variance traces back to prior period behavior. Given that Blue Owl Capital has negative autocorrelation for the selected time horizon, market participants may evaluate potential contrarian price behavior over comparable future intervals.

	Correlation Coefficient	-0.49
	Spearman Rank Test	-0.61
	Residual Average	0.0
	Price Variance	0.18

Price behavior for Blue Owl is studied within a technical framework. The model references indicators tied to price trends and momentum.

Volatility Indicators

View

Value Movement

View

The framework evaluates Blue Owl using observed price behavior. The measure reflects historical price interaction across periods. More Info...

Technical Analysis

This analysis covers thirty-seven data points across the selected time horizon. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Blue Owl Capital volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Technical Analysis Methodology & Indicators

Technical analysis of Blue Owl evaluates price structure, momentum, and volatility clustering. Volume and liquidity conditions influence signal reliability. Higher trading volume may improve order execution and price continuity. Blue Owl has a market cap of 5.86 billion, ROE of 9.4%.

Blue Owl Capital values are built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Technical Indicators

A technical review of Blue Owl Capital can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. A disciplined technical workflow separates stronger setups from noisier price action.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.0615
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	0.1041
	Mean Deviation	1.47
	Semi Deviation	1.63
	Downside Deviation	1.75
	Coefficient Of Variation	1706.06
	Standard Deviation	1.89
	Variance	3.57
	Information Ratio	0.0504
	Jensen Alpha	0.0949
	Total Risk Alpha	0.0901
	Sortino Ratio	0.0546
	Treynor Ratio	0.0941
	Maximum Drawdown	8.65
	Value At Risk	-2.95
	Potential Upside	3.75
	Downside Variance	3.05
	Semi Variance	2.66
	Expected Short fall	-1.57
	Skewness	0.4048
	Kurtosis	0.3439

May 7, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

	Accumulation Distribution	392,308
	Daily Balance Of Power	-0.66
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.97
	Day Median Price	11.30
	Day Typical Price	11.33
	Price Action Indicator	-0.09

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