Otsuka (Germany) Technical Analysis

OTK Stock  EUR 16.40  0.70  4.09%   
As of the 16th of February 2026, Otsuka holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), coefficient of variation of (3,486), and Variance of 4.23. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Otsuka, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Otsuka information ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the standard deviation and maximum drawdown to decide if Otsuka is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 16.4 per share.

Otsuka Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Otsuka, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Otsuka
  
Otsuka's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Otsuka's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Otsuka should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Otsuka's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Otsuka 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Otsuka's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Otsuka.
0.00
11/18/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/16/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Otsuka on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Otsuka or generate 0.0% return on investment in Otsuka over 90 days. Otsuka is related to or competes with NVIDIA CORP, NVIDIA, NVIDIA, APPLE INC, Apple, Apple, and Alphabet. Otsuka Corporation provides system integration, support, and other services in Japan More

Otsuka Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Otsuka's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Otsuka upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Otsuka Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Otsuka's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Otsuka's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Otsuka historical prices to predict the future Otsuka's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3316.4018.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9514.0218.04
Details

Otsuka February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

Otsuka Backtested Returns

At this point, Otsuka is not too volatile. Otsuka maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0251, which implies the firm had a 0.0251 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty technical indicators for Otsuka, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Otsuka's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), variance of 4.23, and Coefficient Of Variation of (3,486) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.052%. Otsuka has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Otsuka are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Otsuka is likely to outperform the market. Otsuka right now holds a risk of 2.07%. Please check Otsuka kurtosis, and the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Otsuka will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Otsuka has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Otsuka time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Otsuka price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Otsuka price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.28
Otsuka technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Otsuka technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Otsuka trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Otsuka Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Otsuka volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Otsuka Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Otsuka on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Otsuka based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Otsuka price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Otsuka. By analyzing Otsuka's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Otsuka's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Otsuka specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Otsuka February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Otsuka help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Otsuka from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Otsuka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Otsuka February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Otsuka stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Otsuka Stock analysis

When running Otsuka's price analysis, check to measure Otsuka's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Otsuka is operating at the current time. Most of Otsuka's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Otsuka's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Otsuka's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Otsuka to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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