PICIC Insurance (Pakistan) Technical Analysis

PIL Stock   4.69  0.21  4.29%   
As of the 20th of February, PICIC Insurance owns the coefficient of variation of (2,394), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.25). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check helpful technical drivers of PICIC Insurance, as well as the relationship between them. Please check PICIC Insurance standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and potential upside to decide if PICIC Insurance is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 4.69 per share.

PICIC Insurance Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as PICIC, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PICIC
  
PICIC Insurance's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between PICIC Insurance's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PICIC Insurance should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, PICIC Insurance's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

PICIC Insurance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PICIC Insurance's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PICIC Insurance.
0.00
11/22/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/20/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in PICIC Insurance on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PICIC Insurance or generate 0.0% return on investment in PICIC Insurance over 90 days. PICIC Insurance is related to or competes with Masood Textile, Fauji Foods, KSB Pumps, Mari Energies, Loads, Thatta Cement, and KOT Addu. More

PICIC Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PICIC Insurance's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PICIC Insurance upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

PICIC Insurance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PICIC Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PICIC Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PICIC Insurance historical prices to predict the future PICIC Insurance's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.764.698.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.175.109.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.574.508.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.514.968.40
Details

PICIC Insurance February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

PICIC Insurance Backtested Returns

PICIC Insurance retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0544, which implies the firm had a -0.0544 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. PICIC Insurance exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PICIC Insurance's market risk adjusted performance of (0.25), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,394) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.65, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, PICIC Insurance's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PICIC Insurance is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, PICIC Insurance has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check PICIC Insurance's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if PICIC Insurance performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.51  

Good reverse predictability

PICIC Insurance has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PICIC Insurance time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PICIC Insurance price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current PICIC Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.51
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13
PICIC Insurance technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of PICIC Insurance technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of PICIC Insurance trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

PICIC Insurance Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of PICIC Insurance volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About PICIC Insurance Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of PICIC Insurance on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of PICIC Insurance based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on PICIC Insurance price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding PICIC Insurance. By analyzing PICIC Insurance's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of PICIC Insurance's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to PICIC Insurance specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

PICIC Insurance February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of PICIC help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PICIC from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze PICIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

PICIC Insurance February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PICIC stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Additional Tools for PICIC Stock Analysis

When running PICIC Insurance's price analysis, check to measure PICIC Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PICIC Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of PICIC Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PICIC Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PICIC Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PICIC Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.