Packaging (Germany) Technical Analysis

PKA Stock  EUR 200.70  2.10  1.04%   
As of the 22nd of February, Packaging holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 585.51, semi deviation of 1.21, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1356. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Packaging, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Packaging coefficient of variation, variance, and the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation to decide if Packaging is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 200.7 per share.

Packaging Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Packaging, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Packaging
  
Packaging's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Packaging's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Packaging should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Packaging's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Packaging 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Packaging's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Packaging.
0.00
11/24/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
02/22/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Packaging on November 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Packaging of or generate 0.0% return on investment in Packaging over 90 days. Packaging is related to or competes with Abbott Laboratories, DANAHER (DAPSG), Merck, Advanced Micro, Philip Morris, BANK OF CHINA, and TotalEnergies. Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products primarily in th... More

Packaging Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Packaging's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Packaging of upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Packaging Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Packaging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Packaging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Packaging historical prices to predict the future Packaging's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
200.22201.86203.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
191.74193.38220.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
198.71200.35201.99
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.372.392.42
Details

Packaging February 22, 2026 Technical Indicators

Packaging Backtested Returns

Packaging appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Packaging maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.18, which implies the firm had a 0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Packaging, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Packaging's Semi Deviation of 1.21, risk adjusted performance of 0.1356, and Coefficient Of Variation of 585.51 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Packaging holds a performance score of 13. The company holds a Beta of -0.19, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Packaging are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Packaging is likely to outperform the market. Please check Packaging's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and standard deviation , to make a quick decision on whether Packaging's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Packaging of has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Packaging time series from 24th of November 2025 to 8th of January 2026 and 8th of January 2026 to 22nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Packaging price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Packaging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance62.91
Packaging technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Packaging technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Packaging trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Packaging Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Packaging across different markets.

About Packaging Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Packaging of on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Packaging of based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Packaging price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Packaging. By analyzing Packaging's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Packaging's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Packaging specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Packaging February 22, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Packaging help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Packaging from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Packaging charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Packaging February 22, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Packaging stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Packaging Stock analysis

When running Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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