Provident Trust Strategy Fund Technical Analysis
| PROVX Fund | USD 19.00 0.29 1.50% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, Provident Trust holds the Downside Deviation of 0.6852, risk adjusted performance of 0.1221, and Standard Deviation of 2.53. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Provident Trust, as well as the relationship between them.
Provident Trust Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Provident, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ProvidentProvident |
Provident Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Provident Trust's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Provident Trust.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Provident Trust on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Provident Trust Strategy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Provident Trust over 90 days. Provident Trust is related to or competes with Mfs Global, Thompson Largecap, Summit Global, Artisan Global, Dividend Opportunities, Royce Micro-cap, and Franklin Universal. The fund invests mainly in a limited number of multi-capitalization growth stocks More
Provident Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Provident Trust's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Provident Trust Strategy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6852 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1046 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.59 |
Provident Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Provident Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Provident Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Provident Trust historical prices to predict the future Provident Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1221 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3861 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4597 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Provident Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Provident Trust February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1221 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4697 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9324 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.6852 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1046 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3861 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4597 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4695 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.05) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 7.04 | |||
| Kurtosis | 54.24 |
Provident Trust Strategy Backtested Returns
Provident Trust appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Provident Trust Strategy maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.16, which implies the entity had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Provident Trust Strategy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please evaluate Provident Trust's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1221, downside deviation of 0.6852, and Standard Deviation of 2.53 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund holds a Beta of 0.78, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Provident Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Provident Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.32 |
Below average predictability
Provident Trust Strategy has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Provident Trust time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Provident Trust Strategy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Provident Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.32 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Provident Trust technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Provident Trust Strategy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Provident Trust Strategy across different markets.
About Provident Trust Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Provident Trust Strategy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Provident Trust Strategy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Provident Trust Strategy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Provident Trust Strategy. By analyzing Provident Trust's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Provident Trust's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Provident Trust specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Provident Trust February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Provident help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Provident from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Provident charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1221 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4697 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9324 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.6852 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 687.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1046 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0598 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3861 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4597 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 21.41 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.13) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4695 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.05) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) | |||
| Skewness | 7.04 | |||
| Kurtosis | 54.24 |
Provident Trust February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Provident stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (Huge) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 19.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 19.00 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) |
Other Information on Investing in Provident Mutual Fund
Provident Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Provident Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Provident with respect to the benefits of owning Provident Trust security.
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