Us Government Securities Fund Technical Analysis

RGVCX Fund  USD 12.16  0.02  0.16%   
As of the 5th of March, Us Government owns the Mean Deviation of 0.1453, downside deviation of 0.1839, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0209. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check practical technical drivers of Us Government Securities, as well as the relationship between them.

Us Government Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as RGVCX, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to RGVCX
  
Us Government's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between Us Government's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Us Government should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Us Government's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Us Government 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Us Government's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Us Government.
0.00
12/05/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/05/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Us Government on December 5, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Us Government Securities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Us Government over 90 days. Us Government is related to or competes with New World, American Funds, American Funds, Income Fund, New Economy, New Economy, and New Economy. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in securities that are guaranteed or sponsored by the U.S More

Us Government Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Us Government's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Us Government Securities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Us Government Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Us Government's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Us Government's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Us Government historical prices to predict the future Us Government's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Us Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9812.1612.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7311.9113.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9412.1212.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7712.1712.19
Details

Us Government March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Us Government Securities Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider RGVCX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Us Government Securities retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the fund had a 0.11 % return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Us Government, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Us Government's Downside Deviation of 0.1839, risk adjusted performance of 0.0209, and Mean Deviation of 0.1453 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0209%. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0307, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Us Government are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Us Government is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

Us Government Securities has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Us Government time series from 5th of December 2025 to 19th of January 2026 and 19th of January 2026 to 5th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Us Government Securities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Us Government price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
Us Government technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Us Government technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Us Government trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Us Government Securities Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Us Government Securities across different markets.

About Us Government Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Us Government Securities on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Us Government Securities based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on Us Government Securities price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Us Government Securities. By analyzing Us Government's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Us Government's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Us Government specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Us Government March 5, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of RGVCX help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RGVCX from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze RGVCX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Us Government Securities One Year Return

Based on the recorded statements, Us Government Securities has an One Year Return of 5.4241%. This is much higher than that of the American Funds family and significantly higher than that of the Intermediate Government category. The one year return for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
Although One Year Fund Return indicator can give a sense of overall fund short-term potential, it is recommended to look at mid and long term return measure before selecting a particular fund or ETF. The great way to validate fund short-term performance is to compare it with other similar funds or ETFs for the same 12 months interval.

Us Government March 5, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as RGVCX stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in RGVCX Mutual Fund

Us Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether RGVCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RGVCX with respect to the benefits of owning Us Government security.
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