Riot Blockchain Stock Technical Analysis
| RIOT Stock | USD 16.22 0.73 4.71% |
As of the 20th of February, Riot Blockchain holds the Semi Deviation of 4.54, coefficient of variation of 1452.15, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0614. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Riot Blockchain, as well as the relationship between them.
Riot Blockchain Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Riot, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to RiotRiot Blockchain's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Riot Blockchain Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 26.89 | Strong Buy | 16 | Odds |
Most Riot analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Riot stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Riot Blockchain, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Riot conference calls.
Is there potential for Systems Software market expansion? Will Riot introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Riot Blockchain. Anticipated expansion of Riot directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Riot Blockchain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.373 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.126 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Riot Blockchain using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Riot Blockchain's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Riot Blockchain's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Riot Blockchain's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Riot Blockchain should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Riot Blockchain's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Riot Blockchain 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Riot Blockchain's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Riot Blockchain.
| 11/22/2025 |
| 02/20/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Riot Blockchain on November 22, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Riot Blockchain or generate 0.0% return on investment in Riot Blockchain over 90 days. Riot Blockchain is related to or competes with Cipher Mining, Marathon Digital, Bitmine Immersion, Xp, Terawulf, Stepstone, and Old National. Riot Blockchain, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, focuses on bitcoin mining operations in North America More
Riot Blockchain Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Riot Blockchain's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Riot Blockchain upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0577 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.21 |
Riot Blockchain Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Riot Blockchain's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Riot Blockchain's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Riot Blockchain historical prices to predict the future Riot Blockchain's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0614 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2401 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1433 |
Riot Blockchain February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0614 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1533 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1452.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.71 | |||
| Variance | 32.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0577 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2401 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1433 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.74) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6883 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.08 |
Riot Blockchain Backtested Returns
Riot Blockchain appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Riot Blockchain maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0733, which implies the firm had a 0.0733 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Riot Blockchain, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Riot Blockchain's Semi Deviation of 4.54, coefficient of variation of 1452.15, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0614 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Riot Blockchain holds a performance score of 5. The company holds a Beta of 2.68, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Riot Blockchain will likely underperform. Please check Riot Blockchain's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Riot Blockchain's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
Riot Blockchain has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Riot Blockchain time series from 22nd of November 2025 to 6th of January 2026 and 6th of January 2026 to 20th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Riot Blockchain price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Riot Blockchain price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.15 |
Riot Blockchain technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Riot Blockchain Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Riot Blockchain volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Riot Blockchain Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Riot Blockchain on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riot Blockchain based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Riot Blockchain price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Riot Blockchain. By analyzing Riot Blockchain's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Riot Blockchain's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Riot Blockchain specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0643 | 0.0611 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.73 | 6.4 |
Riot Blockchain February 20, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Riot help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riot from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Riot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0614 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1533 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.92 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1452.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.71 | |||
| Variance | 32.63 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0577 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2401 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.067 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1433 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.82) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 24.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.74) | |||
| Skewness | 0.6883 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.08 |
Riot Blockchain February 20, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Riot stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1,148,589 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.65 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | ||
| Day Median Price | 15.68 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 15.86 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.90 |
Additional Tools for Riot Stock Analysis
When running Riot Blockchain's price analysis, check to measure Riot Blockchain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riot Blockchain is operating at the current time. Most of Riot Blockchain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riot Blockchain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riot Blockchain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riot Blockchain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.