Sera Prognostics Stock Technical Analysis
| SERA Stock | USD 2.65 0.03 1.12% |
As of the 12th of February 2026, Sera Prognostics has the Variance of 27.54, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,413). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Sera Prognostics, as well as the relationship between them.
Sera Prognostics Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Sera, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SeraSera Prognostics' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Sera Prognostics Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 5.0 | Strong Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Sera analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Sera stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Sera Prognostics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Sera conference calls.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sera Prognostics. If investors know Sera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Sera Prognostics assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.76) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Sera Prognostics requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Sera's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Sera Prognostics' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Sera Prognostics' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sera Prognostics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sera Prognostics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sera Prognostics' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Sera Prognostics 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sera Prognostics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sera Prognostics.
| 11/14/2025 |
| 02/12/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Sera Prognostics on November 14, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sera Prognostics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sera Prognostics over 90 days. Sera Prognostics is related to or competes with Rapid Micro, Sharps Technology, Tevogen Bio, Cognition Therapeutics, Atossa Genetics, Lucid Diagnostics, and Apyx Medical. Sera Prognostics, Inc., a womens health diagnostic company, discovers, develops, and commercializes biomarker tests for ... More
Sera Prognostics Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sera Prognostics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sera Prognostics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.62 |
Sera Prognostics Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sera Prognostics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sera Prognostics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sera Prognostics historical prices to predict the future Sera Prognostics' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1781 |
Sera Prognostics February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1881 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,413) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.25 | |||
| Variance | 27.54 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1781 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.62 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1913 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
Sera Prognostics Backtested Returns
Sera Prognostics owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0168, which indicates the firm had a -0.0168 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Sera Prognostics exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Sera Prognostics' Coefficient Of Variation of (5,413), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Variance of 27.54 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.6, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Sera Prognostics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Sera Prognostics is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Sera Prognostics has a negative expected return of -0.0778%. Please make sure to validate Sera Prognostics' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Sera Prognostics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.65 |
Very good reverse predictability
Sera Prognostics has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sera Prognostics time series from 14th of November 2025 to 29th of December 2025 and 29th of December 2025 to 12th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sera Prognostics price movement. The serial correlation of -0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Sera Prognostics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.65 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.3 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Sera Prognostics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Sera Prognostics Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Sera Prognostics across different markets.
About Sera Prognostics Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Sera Prognostics on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sera Prognostics based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Sera Prognostics price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Sera Prognostics. By analyzing Sera Prognostics's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Sera Prognostics's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Sera Prognostics specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 13.7K | 161.17 | 145.05 | 137.8 | PTB Ratio | 2.66 | 5.65 | 6.49 | 6.17 |
Sera Prognostics February 12, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Sera help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sera from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Sera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1881 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,413) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.25 | |||
| Variance | 27.54 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1781 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.62 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1913 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.13 |
Sera Prognostics February 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sera stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 2.67 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 2.66 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.22 |
Complementary Tools for Sera Stock analysis
When running Sera Prognostics' price analysis, check to measure Sera Prognostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sera Prognostics is operating at the current time. Most of Sera Prognostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sera Prognostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sera Prognostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sera Prognostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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