Simmons First National Stock Technical Analysis
| SFNC Stock | USD 21.26 0.44 2.03% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Simmons First has the Coefficient Of Variation of 629.37, semi deviation of 1.15, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1346. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Simmons First National, as well as the relationship between them.
Simmons First Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Simmons, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SimmonsSimmons First's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Simmons First Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 23.0 | Buy | 6 | Odds |
Most Simmons analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Simmons stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Simmons First National, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Simmons conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Simmons diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simmons First. If investors know Simmons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Simmons First data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.428 | Dividend Share 0.848 | Earnings Share (3.24) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.193 |
Understanding Simmons First National requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Simmons's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Simmons First's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Simmons First's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simmons First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simmons First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Simmons First's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Simmons First 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Simmons First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Simmons First.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Simmons First on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Simmons First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in Simmons First over 90 days. Simmons First is related to or competes with Park National, CVB Financial, Towne Bank, Bank of Hawaii, Provident Financial, Banc Of, and Seacoast Banking. Simmons First National Corporation operates as the holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other fina... More
Simmons First Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Simmons First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Simmons First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1151 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.23 |
Simmons First Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Simmons First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Simmons First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Simmons First historical prices to predict the future Simmons First's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1346 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2104 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1223 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1501 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2763 |
Simmons First February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1346 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2863 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 629.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1151 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2104 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1223 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1501 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2763 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 1.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.38 |
Simmons First National Backtested Returns
Simmons First appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Simmons First National owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the firm had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Simmons First National, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Simmons First's Coefficient Of Variation of 629.37, semi deviation of 1.15, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1346 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Simmons First holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 1.02, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Simmons First returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Simmons First is expected to follow. Please check Simmons First's downside variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Simmons First's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.68 |
Good predictability
Simmons First National has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Simmons First time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Simmons First National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current Simmons First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.68 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.07 |
Simmons First technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Simmons First National Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Simmons First National across different markets.
About Simmons First Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Simmons First National on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simmons First National based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Simmons First National price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Simmons First National. By analyzing Simmons First's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Simmons First's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Simmons First specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0403 | 0.0379 | 0.0451 | 0.0297 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.87 | 1.92 | 4.3 | 4.52 |
Simmons First February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Simmons help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Simmons from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Simmons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1346 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2863 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 629.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1151 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2104 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1223 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1501 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2763 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.02) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 1.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 7.38 |
Simmons First February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Simmons stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 83,445 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 21.58 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 21.47 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.54) |
Complementary Tools for Simmons Stock analysis
When running Simmons First's price analysis, check to measure Simmons First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simmons First is operating at the current time. Most of Simmons First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simmons First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simmons First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simmons First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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