The J M Stock Technical Analysis
| SJM Stock | USD 109.38 1.92 1.79% |
As of the 11th of February 2026, J M retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.9218, downside deviation of 1.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0514. Concerning fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of The J M, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out J M information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if J M is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 109.38 per share. Given that The J M has jensen alpha of 0.0667, we strongly advise you to confirm J M's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
J M Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as SJM, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SJMJ M's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.J M Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 114.87 | Buy | 20 | Odds |
Most SJM analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand SJM stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of J M, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to SJM conference calls.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could SJM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of J M. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every J M data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.36 | Earnings Share (11.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Understanding J M requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects SJM's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what J M's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push J M's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between J M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if J M is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, J M's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
J M 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to J M's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of J M.
| 11/13/2025 |
| 02/11/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in J M on November 13, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The J M or generate 0.0% return on investment in J M over 90 days. J M is related to or competes with Pilgrims Pride, Campbells, ConAgra Foods, Lamb Weston, Hormel Foods, Coca Cola, and Albertsons Companies. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide More
J M Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure J M's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The J M upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.52 |
J M Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for J M's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as J M's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use J M historical prices to predict the future J M's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0514 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0667 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9118 |
J M February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0514 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9218 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1702.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0667 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9118 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.19) |
J M Backtested Returns
As of now, SJM Stock is very steady. J M holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for J M, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out J M's Downside Deviation of 1.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.0514, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.9218 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0131%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0804, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, J M's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding J M is expected to be smaller as well. J M right now retains a risk of 1.45%. Please check out J M potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to decide if J M will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.77 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
The J M has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between J M time series from 13th of November 2025 to 28th of December 2025 and 28th of December 2025 to 11th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of J M price movement. The serial correlation of -0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current J M price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.77 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.78 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 17.24 |
J M technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
J M Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for J M across different markets.
About J M Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of The J M on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The J M based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on J M price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding J M. By analyzing J M's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of J M's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to J M specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0366 | 0.0368 | 0.0331 | 0.0223 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.46 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.12 |
J M February 11, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of SJM help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SJM from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze SJM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0514 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.9218 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1702.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0667 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.9118 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) | |||
| Skewness | (0.21) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.19) |
J M February 11, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SJM stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 62,800 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.64 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 109.00 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 109.13 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.34 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The J M. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could SJM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of J M. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every J M data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 4.36 | Earnings Share (11.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
Understanding J M requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects SJM's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what J M's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push J M's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between J M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if J M is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, J M's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.