State Farm Balanced Fund Technical Analysis

STFBX Fund  USD 98.78  0.21  0.21%   
As of the 18th of February 2026, State Farm has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1621, semi deviation of 0.217, and Coefficient Of Variation of 485.42. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of State Farm Balanced, as well as the relationship between them.

State Farm Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as State, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to State
  
State Farm's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between State Farm's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if State Farm is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, State Farm's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

State Farm 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to State Farm's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of State Farm.
0.00
11/20/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/18/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in State Farm on November 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding State Farm Balanced or generate 0.0% return on investment in State Farm over 90 days. State Farm is related to or competes with State Farm, State Farm, State Farm, and State Farm. The fund invests approximately 65 percent of its total assets in common stocks, and ordinarily limits its common stock i... More

State Farm Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure State Farm's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess State Farm Balanced upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

State Farm Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for State Farm's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as State Farm's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use State Farm historical prices to predict the future State Farm's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.0698.7899.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.90106.17106.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.5599.27100.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.1498.92110.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as State Farm. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against State Farm's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, State Farm's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in State Farm Balanced.

State Farm February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators

State Farm Balanced Backtested Returns

State Farm appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. State Farm Balanced owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.28, which indicates the fund had a 0.28 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for State Farm Balanced, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review State Farm's Coefficient Of Variation of 485.42, semi deviation of 0.217, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1621 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of -0.0048, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning State Farm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, State Farm is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

State Farm Balanced has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between State Farm time series from 20th of November 2025 to 4th of January 2026 and 4th of January 2026 to 18th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of State Farm Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current State Farm price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.65
State Farm technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of State Farm technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of State Farm trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

State Farm Balanced Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of State Farm Balanced volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About State Farm Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of State Farm Balanced on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of State Farm Balanced based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on State Farm Balanced price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding State Farm Balanced. By analyzing State Farm's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of State Farm's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to State Farm specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

State Farm February 18, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of State help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

State Farm February 18, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as State stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Other Information on Investing in State Mutual Fund

State Farm financial ratios help investors to determine whether State Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in State with respect to the benefits of owning State Farm security.
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