Telefonica (Spain) Technical Analysis
| TEF Stock | EUR 3.67 0.04 1.08% |
As of the 15th of February 2026, Telefonica has the Coefficient Of Variation of 2277.94, risk adjusted performance of 0.0395, and Semi Deviation of 1.17. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Telefonica, as well as the relationship between them.
Telefonica Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Telefonica, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TelefonicaTelefonica |
Telefonica 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Telefonica's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Telefonica.
| 11/17/2025 |
| 02/15/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Telefonica on November 17, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Telefonica or generate 0.0% return on investment in Telefonica over 90 days. Telefonica is related to or competes with Parlem Telecom, Lleidanetworks Serveis, Promotora, Making Science, Vocento, and Atresmedia Corporacin. Telefnica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Europe and Latin America More
Telefonica Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Telefonica's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Telefonica upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 |
Telefonica Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Telefonica's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Telefonica's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Telefonica historical prices to predict the future Telefonica's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0395 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0422 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4176 |
Telefonica February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0395 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4276 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2277.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0422 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4176 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7159 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.06 |
Telefonica Backtested Returns
At this point, Telefonica is somewhat reliable. Telefonica owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0259, which indicates the firm had a 0.0259 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Telefonica, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Telefonica's Semi Deviation of 1.17, risk adjusted performance of 0.0395, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2277.94 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0351%. Telefonica has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Telefonica's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Telefonica is expected to be smaller as well. Telefonica right now has a risk of 1.36%. Please validate Telefonica value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and downside variance , to decide if Telefonica will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.53 |
Good reverse predictability
Telefonica has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Telefonica time series from 17th of November 2025 to 1st of January 2026 and 1st of January 2026 to 15th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Telefonica price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Telefonica price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.53 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Telefonica technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Telefonica Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Telefonica across different markets.
About Telefonica Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Telefonica on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telefonica based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Telefonica price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Telefonica. By analyzing Telefonica's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Telefonica's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Telefonica specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Telefonica February 15, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Telefonica help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telefonica from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Telefonica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0395 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4276 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2277.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0422 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4176 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.72) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) | |||
| Skewness | 0.7159 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.06 |
Telefonica February 15, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Telefonica stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 3.69 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 3.68 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.07 |
Complementary Tools for Telefonica Stock analysis
When running Telefonica's price analysis, check to measure Telefonica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telefonica is operating at the current time. Most of Telefonica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telefonica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telefonica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telefonica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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