As of the 13th of February 2026, Swatch has the Semi Deviation of 1.38, coefficient of variation of 791.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1093. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Swatch Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Swatch Groupinformation ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Swatch is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 196.7 per share.
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Swatch, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Swatch
Swatch
Swatch's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swatch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swatch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Swatch's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Swatch 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swatch's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swatch.
0.00
11/15/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
02/13/2026
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Swatch on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Swatch Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swatch over 90 days. Swatch is related to or competes with Swatch Group, Vetropack Holding, Mobilezone, SIG Combibloc, V Zug, Bergbahnen Engelberg, and Autoneum Holding. Swatch is entity of Switzerland. It is traded as Stock on SW exchange. More
Swatch Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swatch's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Swatch Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swatch's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swatch's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swatch historical prices to predict the future Swatch's volatility.
Swatch appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Swatch Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for The Swatch Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Swatch's Semi Deviation of 1.38, coefficient of variation of 791.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1093 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Swatch holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of -0.0237, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Swatch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Swatch is likely to outperform the market. Please check Swatch's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Swatch's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
0.55
Modest predictability
The Swatch Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swatch time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swatch Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Swatch price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.55
Spearman Rank Test
0.46
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
109.19
Swatch technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Swatch technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Swatch trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Swatch Group Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Swatch Group across different markets.
About Swatch Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of The Swatch Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Swatch Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Swatch Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Swatch Group. By analyzing Swatch's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Swatch's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Swatch specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Most technical analysis of Swatch help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swatch from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Swatch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Swatch stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.