Vale SA (Argentina) Technical Analysis

VALE Stock  ARS 12,570  180.00  1.41%   
As of the 28th of February, Vale SA has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1708, coefficient of variation of 466.17, and Semi Deviation of 1.9. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vale SA, as well as the relationship between them.

Vale SA Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Vale, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Vale
  
Vale SA's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vale SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vale SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vale SA's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Vale SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vale SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vale SA.
0.00
11/30/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/28/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vale SA on November 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vale SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vale SA over 90 days. Vale SA is related to or competes with Verizon Communications, Harmony Gold, Compania, and Telecom Argentina. More

Vale SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vale SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vale SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vale SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vale SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vale SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vale SA historical prices to predict the future Vale SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,56812,57012,572
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,90111,90413,827
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,91012,91212,914
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,03012,63012,810
Details

Vale SA February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Vale SA Backtested Returns

Vale SA appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Vale SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.2, which indicates the firm had a 0.2 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Vale SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Vale SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1708, semi deviation of 1.9, and Coefficient Of Variation of 466.17 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Vale SA holds a performance score of 16. The entity has a beta of 0.0257, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vale SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vale SA is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Vale SA's jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Vale SA's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Vale SA has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vale SA time series from 30th of November 2025 to 14th of January 2026 and 14th of January 2026 to 28th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vale SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Vale SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance301.2 K
Vale SA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vale SA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vale SA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Vale SA Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Vale SA across different markets.

About Vale SA Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Vale SA on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vale SA based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Vale SA price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Vale SA. By analyzing Vale SA's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vale SA's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Vale SA specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Vale SA February 28, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Vale help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vale from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Vale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Vale SA February 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vale stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Vale Stock analysis

When running Vale SA's price analysis, check to measure Vale SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vale SA is operating at the current time. Most of Vale SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vale SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vale SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vale SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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