First Trust Merger Fund Technical Analysis
| VARCX Fund | 10.48 0.01 0.1% |
As of the 30th of January, First Trust shows the Mean Deviation of 0.0954, standard deviation of 0.3183, and Coefficient Of Variation of 670.38. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of First Trust, as well as the relationship between them.
First Trust Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust Merger or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with Schwab Health, Alger Health, Fidelity Advisor, The Hartford, Allianzgi Health, and Putnam Global. Under normal market conditions, the funds adviser intends to invest in equity securities and derivatives thereof of comp... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust Merger upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.105 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.1) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.0984 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0955 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0361 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.015 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.37 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Trust January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0955 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.38 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0954 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.105 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 670.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3183 | |||
| Variance | 0.1013 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0361 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.015 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.37 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.1) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.0984 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.011 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.05) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.27) | |||
| Skewness | 7.78 | |||
| Kurtosis | 62.23 |
First Trust Merger Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider First Mutual Fund to be very steady. First Trust Merger secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.16, which denotes the fund had a 0.16 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for First Trust Merger, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Standard Deviation of 0.3183, coefficient of variation of 670.38, and Mean Deviation of 0.0954 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0539%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0273, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
First Trust Merger has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust Merger price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
First Trust technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Trust Merger Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of First Trust Merger volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About First Trust Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Trust Merger on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Trust Merger based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on First Trust Merger price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Trust Merger. By analyzing First Trust's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Trust's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Trust specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First Trust January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0955 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.38 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.0954 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.105 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 670.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3183 | |||
| Variance | 0.1013 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0361 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.015 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.37 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.1) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.0984 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.011 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.05) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.27) | |||
| Skewness | 7.78 | |||
| Kurtosis | 62.23 |
First Trust January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | Huge | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 10.48 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 10.48 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 |
Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund
First Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Trust security.
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