Freshpet Valuation

7FP Stock  EUR 56.62  1.80  3.08%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Freshpet shows a prevailing Real Value of €62.79 per share. The current price of the firm is €56.62. Our model computes the value of Freshpet from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.11 %, shares outstanding of 48.81 M, and Current Valuation of 2.97 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
2.8554
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.6406
Price Sales
2.56
Forward PE
50
Undervalued
Today
56.62
Please note that Freshpet's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Freshpet is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Freshpet's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Freshpet stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Freshpet. Since Freshpet is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Freshpet Stock. However, Freshpet's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  56.62 Real  62.79 Hype  56.35 Naive  52.83
The real value of Freshpet Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Freshpet Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Freshpet's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Freshpet's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
62.79
Real Value
65.06
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Freshpet helps investors to forecast how Freshpet stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Freshpet more accurately as focusing exclusively on Freshpet's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.020.110.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.0856.3558.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
50.5652.8355.11
Details

Freshpet Cash

324.37 Million

Freshpet Total Value Analysis

Freshpet is presently estimated to have takeover price of 2.97 B with market capitalization of 2.76 B, debt of 519.52 M, and cash on hands of 3.76 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Freshpet fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.97 B
2.76 B
519.52 M
3.76 M

Freshpet Investor Information

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The book value of Freshpet was presently reported as 20.51. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. Freshpet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Freshpet's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Freshpet is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.

Freshpet Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Freshpet has an asset utilization ratio of 61.92 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Freshpet is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Freshpet Profitability Analysis

Based on Freshpet's profitability indicators, Freshpet may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Freshpet's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
16.4 M
Current Value
101.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
22.1 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Freshpet's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 478.1 M
For Freshpet profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Freshpet to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Freshpet utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Freshpet's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Freshpet over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Freshpet Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Freshpet's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Freshpet's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Freshpet is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Freshpet is projected to generate 0.11 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. Freshpet earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Freshpet EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Freshpet's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Freshpet, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Freshpet Ownership Allocation

Freshpet retains a total of 48.81 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Freshpet outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Freshpet to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Freshpet. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Freshpet as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Freshpet Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 975.18 M. Net Income was 46.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 437.77 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Freshpet's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Freshpet and how it compares across the competition.

About Freshpet Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Freshpet's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Freshpet. We calculate exposure to Freshpet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Freshpet's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit455.3 M478.1 M

Complementary Tools for Freshpet Stock analysis

When running Freshpet's price analysis, check to measure Freshpet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freshpet is operating at the current time. Most of Freshpet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freshpet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freshpet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freshpet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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