Astra Agro Valuation

AALI Stock  IDR 6,275  75.00  1.21%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Astra Agro Lestari shows a prevailing Real Value of 5714.88 per share. The current price of the firm is 6275.0. Our model approximates the value of Astra Agro Lestari from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 17.71 T, return on equity of 0.0847, and Profit Margin of 0.08 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
6,275
Please note that Astra Agro's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Astra Agro Lestari is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Astra Agro's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Astra Agro's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 6,275, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  6275.0 Real  5714.88 Hype  6275.0 Naive  6186.29
The intrinsic value of Astra Agro's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Astra Agro's stock price.
5,715
Real Value
6,902
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Astra Agro Lestari helps investors to forecast how Astra stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Astra Agro more accurately as focusing exclusively on Astra Agro's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,0086,3896,771
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,2736,2756,277
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6,1856,1866,188
Details

Astra Agro Total Value Analysis

Astra Agro Lestari is presently forecasted to have takeover price of 17.71 T with market capitalization of 15.73 T, debt of 2.13 T, and cash on hands of . Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Astra Agro fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Astra Agro Investor Information

About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Astra Agro Lestari has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.29. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 892.65. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of October 2022. Based on the analysis of Astra Agro's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Astra Agro Lestari is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Astra Agro Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Astra Agro has an asset utilization ratio of 80.01 percent. This suggests that the Company is making 0.8 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Astra Agro Lestari is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Astra Agro Ownership Allocation

Astra Agro holds a total of 1.92 Billion outstanding shares. Astra Agro Lestari shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 79.69 percent of Astra Agro Lestari outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Astra Agro Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 24.32 T. Net Income was 1.97 T with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.88 T.

About Astra Agro Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astra Agro Lestari. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Astra Agro Lestari based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Astra Agro's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Astra Agro's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Astra Agro. We calculate exposure to Astra Agro's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Astra Agro's related companies.

8 Steps to conduct Astra Agro's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Astra Agro's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Astra Agro's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Astra Agro's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Astra Agro's revenue streams: Identify Astra Agro's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Astra Agro's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Astra Agro's growth potential: Evaluate Astra Agro's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Astra Agro's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Astra Agro's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Other Information on Investing in Astra Stock

Astra Agro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astra with respect to the benefits of owning Astra Agro security.