Accel Entertainment Valuation

ACEL Stock  USD 11.13  0.07  0.62%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Accel Entertainment shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.44 per share. The current price of the firm is $11.13. Our model approximates the value of Accel Entertainment from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.18 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Accel Entertainment's valuation include:
Price Book
3.5013
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.0958
Price Sales
0.7223
Forward PE
16.0514
Fairly Valued
Today
11.13
Please note that Accel Entertainment's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Accel Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Accel Entertainment's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Accel stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Accel Entertainment. Since Accel Entertainment is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Accel Stock. However, Accel Entertainment's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.13 Real  11.44 Target  15.17 Hype  11.13 Naive  11.33
The intrinsic value of Accel Entertainment's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Accel Entertainment's stock price.
11.44
Real Value
13.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Accel Entertainment helps investors to forecast how Accel stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Accel Entertainment more accurately as focusing exclusively on Accel Entertainment's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.170.220.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5211.1312.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.7211.3312.94
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.8015.1716.84
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Accel Entertainment's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Accel Entertainment's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Accel Entertainment's closest peers.

Accel Entertainment Cash

181.26 Million

Accel Revenue by Product

Accel Entertainment Total Value Analysis

Accel Entertainment is presently forecasted to have valuation of 1.24 B with market capitalization of 944.09 M, debt of 595.38 M, and cash on hands of 255.76 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Accel Entertainment fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.24 B
944.09 M
595.38 M
255.76 M

Accel Entertainment Investor Information

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Accel Entertainment was presently reported as 3.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. Accel Entertainment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Accel Entertainment's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Accel Entertainment may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.

Accel Entertainment Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Accel Entertainment has an asset utilization ratio of 117.41 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.17 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Accel Entertainment is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Accel Entertainment Profitability Analysis

Based on Accel Entertainment's profitability indicators, Accel Entertainment's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average chance of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Accel Entertainment's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
7.3 M
Current Value
13.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
13.4 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Accel Entertainment's Net Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.36 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 219.1 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.360.35
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Accel Entertainment profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Accel Entertainment to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Accel Entertainment utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Accel Entertainment's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Accel Entertainment over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Accel Entertainment Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Accel Entertainment is estimated to be 0.218325 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1736 to a high of 0.26465. Accel Entertainment's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.5. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Accel Entertainment is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Accel Entertainment is projected to generate 0.218325 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Accel Entertainment earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Accel Entertainment EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Accel Entertainment's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Accel Entertainment, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Accel Entertainment Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Accel Entertainment's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Accel Entertainment is estimated to be 0.218325 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1736 to a high of 0.26465. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Accel Entertainment is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.17
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.218325
0.26
Highest

Accel Entertainment Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Accel Entertainment's value are higher than the current market price of the Accel Entertainment stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Accel Entertainment is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Accel Entertainment's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
673.48%
0.0
0.218325
0.5

Accel Entertainment Ownership Allocation

Accel Entertainment holds a total of 83.21 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Accel Entertainment outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Accel Entertainment to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Accel Entertainment. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Accel Entertainment as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Accel Entertainment Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.23 B. Net Income was 35.29 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 405.54 M.

About Accel Entertainment Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Accel Entertainment. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Accel Entertainment based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Accel Entertainment's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Accel Entertainment's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Accel Entertainment. We calculate exposure to Accel Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Accel Entertainment's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit427.2 M219.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.04  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.05 
Net Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.36 

Accel Entertainment Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Accel Entertainment does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.673
Forward Price Earnings16.0514

Accel Entertainment Current Valuation Indicators

Accel Entertainment's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Accel Entertainment's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Accel Entertainment, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Accel Entertainment's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Accel Entertainment's worth.
When determining whether Accel Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Accel Entertainment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Accel Entertainment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Accel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Accel Entertainment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
For more information on how to buy Accel Stock please use our How to buy in Accel Stock guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Accel Entertainment. If investors know Accel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Accel Entertainment assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.673
Earnings Share
0.5
Revenue Per Share
15.39
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
Return On Assets
0.0648
Investors evaluate Accel Entertainment using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Accel Entertainment's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Accel Entertainment's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Accel Entertainment's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Accel Entertainment represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Accel Entertainment's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.