Alico Valuation

ALCO Stock  USD 26.47  0.03  0.11%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Alico Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of $29.37 per share. The current price of the firm is $26.47. Our model approximates the value of Alico Inc from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 276.65 M, profit margin of 0.56 %, and Return On Equity of 0.097 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alico's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7485
Enterprise Value
276.6 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.0354
Price Sales
4.3482
Forward PE
41.4938
Undervalued
Today
26.47
Please note that Alico's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alico Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alico's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Alico is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alico Stock. However, Alico's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  26.47 Real  29.37 Target  32.0 Hype  26.18 Naive  25.67
The intrinsic value of Alico's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alico's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
29.37
Real Value
31.69
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alico Inc helps investors to forecast how Alico stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alico more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alico's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.1-0.1-0.1
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.8626.1828.50
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.1232.0035.52
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Alico's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Alico's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Alico's closest peers.

Alico Cash

1.16 Million

Alico Valuation Trend

Knowing Alico's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Alico's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Alico Revenue by Product

Alico Total Value Analysis

Alico Inc is presently forecasted to have valuation of 276.65 M with market capitalization of 201.7 M, debt of 128.7 M, and cash on hands of 6.87 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Alico fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
276.65 M
201.7 M
128.7 M
6.87 M

Alico Investor Information

About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alico Inc last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. The entity had 4:1 split on the 23rd of February 1987. Based on the analysis of Alico's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alico Inc is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Alico Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alico has an asset utilization ratio of 9.3 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.093 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alico Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Alico Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Alico Inc is $201.7 Million. Over half of Alico's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Alico Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 39.85 M. Net Income was 1.66 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.81 M.

Alico Past Distributions to stockholders

About Alico Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alico Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Alico Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Alico's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Alico's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alico. We calculate exposure to Alico's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alico's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.4 MM
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.20 
Net Loss(0.10)(0.10)
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.34 
Alico's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Alico's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Alico can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Alico represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Alico, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Alico Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 25th of November 2024, Dividends Paid is likely to drop to about 4 M. In addition to that, Dividend Yield is likely to drop to 0.01. As of the 25th of November 2024, Retained Earnings is likely to grow to about 294.4 M, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 167.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid5.7 MM
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.59)(0.56)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(3.07)(2.92)
There are various types of dividends Alico can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Alico shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Alico Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Alico pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Alico by the value of the dividends paid out.

Alico Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.352
Forward Price Earnings41.4938

Alico Current Valuation Indicators

Alico's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Alico's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alico, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alico's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alico's worth.
When determining whether Alico Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alico's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alico Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alico Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alico Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alico. If investors know Alico will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alico listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.352
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
3.41
Revenue Per Share
6.089
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.868
The market value of Alico Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alico that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alico's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alico's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alico's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alico's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alico's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alico is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alico's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.