US Commodity Valuation

ALUM Etf   33.21  2.43  6.82%   
At this time, the etf appears to be overvalued. US Commodity Funds owns a latest Real Value of USD30.1 per share. The recent price of the etf is USD33.21. Our model measures the value of US Commodity Funds from analyzing the etf fundamentals such as number of employees of 8, and Net Asset of 2.26 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
33.21
Please note that US Commodity's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of US Commodity Funds is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing US Commodity's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the ALUM etf is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of US Commodity Funds. Since US Commodity is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ALUM Etf. However, US Commodity's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  33.21 Real  30.1 Hype  33.16 Naive  32.08
The intrinsic value of US Commodity's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence US Commodity's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
30.10
Real Value
36.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of US Commodity Funds helps investors to forecast how ALUM etf's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of US Commodity more accurately as focusing exclusively on US Commodity's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.4131.9334.45
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.0033.1635.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
29.9232.0834.25
Details

About US Commodity Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of US Commodity Funds. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this etf, attempts to find the value of US Commodity Funds based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing US Commodity's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of US Commodity's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of US Commodity. We calculate exposure to US Commodity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of US Commodity's related companies.
When determining whether US Commodity Funds is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ALUM Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Us Commodity Funds Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Us Commodity Funds Etf:
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The market value of US Commodity Funds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ALUM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Commodity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Commodity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Commodity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Commodity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Commodity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Commodity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Commodity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.