Bavarian Nordic Valuation

BVNRY Stock  USD 9.10  0.11  1.22%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Bavarian Nordic AS shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.12 per share. The current price of the firm is $9.1. Our model approximates the value of Bavarian Nordic AS from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.95 B, return on equity of -0.0942, and Profit Margin of (0.25) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
9.10
Please note that Bavarian Nordic's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Bavarian Nordic AS is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Bavarian Nordic's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Bavarian Nordic is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Bavarian Pink Sheet. However, Bavarian Nordic's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.1 Real  8.12 Hype  9.1
The intrinsic value of Bavarian Nordic's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Bavarian Nordic's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.12
Real Value
11.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Bavarian Nordic AS helps investors to forecast how Bavarian pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Bavarian Nordic more accurately as focusing exclusively on Bavarian Nordic's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.149.1012.06
Details

Bavarian Nordic Total Value Analysis

Bavarian Nordic AS is currently projected to have takeover price of 1.95 B with market capitalization of 2.35 B, debt of 179.41 M, and cash on hands of 3.25 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Bavarian Nordic fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.95 B
2.35 B
179.41 M
3.25 B

Bavarian Nordic Investor Information

The book value of the company was currently reported as 38.27. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.44. Bavarian Nordic AS last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2020. The entity had 3:1 split on the 20th of January 2016. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Bavarian Nordic's historical financial statements, Bavarian Nordic AS is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Bavarian Nordic Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Bavarian Nordic has an asset utilization ratio of 15.7 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.16 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Bavarian Nordic AS is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Bavarian Nordic Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (464.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 570.93 M.

About Bavarian Nordic Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Bavarian Nordic. We calculate exposure to Bavarian Nordic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Bavarian Nordic's related companies.
Bavarian Nordic AS develops, manufactures, and commercializes life-saving vaccines. Bavarian Nordic AS was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Hellerup, Denmark. Bavarian Nordic is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct Bavarian Nordic's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Bavarian Nordic's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Bavarian Nordic's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Bavarian Nordic's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Bavarian Nordic's revenue streams: Identify Bavarian Nordic's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Bavarian Nordic's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Bavarian Nordic's growth potential: Evaluate Bavarian Nordic's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Bavarian Nordic's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Bavarian Nordic's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Bavarian Nordic Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding162.1 M
Forward Price Earnings4.99
Retained Earnings6.6 B

Additional Tools for Bavarian Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Bavarian Nordic's price analysis, check to measure Bavarian Nordic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bavarian Nordic is operating at the current time. Most of Bavarian Nordic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bavarian Nordic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bavarian Nordic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bavarian Nordic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.