China Aviation Oil Valuation

CAOLFDelisted Stock  USD 0.55  0.00  0.00%   
China Aviation is overvalued. China Aviation Oil shows a prevailing Real Value of $0.47 per share. The current price of the firm is $0.55. Our model approximates the value of China Aviation Oil from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 331.6 M, return on equity of 0.04, and Profit Margin of 0 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
0.55
Please note that China Aviation's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of China Aviation Oil is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing China Aviation's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the China pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of China Aviation Oil. Since China Aviation is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of China Pink Sheet. However, China Aviation's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.55 Real  0.47 Hype  0.55 Naive  0.55
The real value of China Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of China Aviation Oil Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on China Aviation's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of China Aviation's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
0.47
Real Value
0.61
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of China Aviation Oil helps investors to forecast how China pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of China Aviation more accurately as focusing exclusively on China Aviation's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.550.550.55
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.550.550.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.550.550.55
Details

China Aviation Total Value Analysis

China Aviation Oil is currently expected to have takeover price of 331.6 M with market capitalization of 681.1 M, debt of 10.27 M, and cash on hands of 406.71 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the China Aviation fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
331.6 M
681.1 M
10.27 M
406.71 M

China Aviation Investor Information

About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Aviation Oil last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The entity had 1:5 split on the 21st of March 2006. Based on the analysis of China Aviation's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, China Aviation Oil is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

China Aviation Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of China implies not a very effective usage of assets in December.

China Aviation Ownership Allocation

China Aviation holds a total of 860.18 Million outstanding shares. China Aviation Oil shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 72.4 percent of China Aviation Oil outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

China Aviation Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 17.64 B. Net Income was 40.35 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.7 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates China Aviation's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in China Aviation and how it compares across the competition.

About China Aviation Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines China Aviation's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of China Aviation. We calculate exposure to China Aviation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of China Aviation's related companies.
China Aviation Oil Corporation Ltd. engages in trading jet fuel and other petroleum products to airline companies worldwide. China Aviation Oil Corporation Ltd. is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Fuel Group Limited. China Aviation is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct China Aviation's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates China Aviation's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct China Aviation's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain China Aviation's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine China Aviation's revenue streams: Identify China Aviation's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research China Aviation's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish China Aviation's growth potential: Evaluate China Aviation's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine China Aviation's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate China Aviation's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

China Aviation Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as China Aviation does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding860.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.188
Forward Price Earnings5.2994
Retained Earnings676.8 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in China Aviation Oil check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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