China Aviation Oil Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.61
| CAOLFDelisted Stock | USD 0.55 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Aviation Target Price Odds to finish over 0.61
The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.61 or more in 90 days |
| 0.55 | 90 days | 0.61 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Aviation to move over $ 0.61 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This China Aviation Oil probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Aviation Oil price to stay between its current price of $ 0.55 and $ 0.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Aviation has a beta of 0.0459 suggesting as returns on the market go up, China Aviation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Aviation Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Aviation Oil has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Aviation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Aviation Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Aviation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Aviation Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.42 |
China Aviation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Aviation Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Aviation Oil is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Aviation Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Aviation Oil has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
China Aviation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 860.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.8 M |
China Aviation Technical Analysis
China Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Aviation Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Aviation Predictive Forecast Models
China Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Aviation's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Aviation Oil
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Aviation Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Aviation Oil is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Aviation Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| China Aviation Oil has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Other Consideration for investing in China Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in China Aviation Oil check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Aviation's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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