Capstone Green Energy Valuation

CGRNDelisted Stock  USD 1.19  0.02  1.71%   
Today, the firm appears to be overvalued. Capstone Green Energy shows a prevailing Real Value of $1.02 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.19. Our model approximates the value of Capstone Green Energy from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.26) %, current valuation of 54.38 M, and Return On Equity of -2.92 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
1.19
Please note that Capstone Green's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Capstone Green Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Capstone Green's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Capstone Green is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Capstone Stock. However, Capstone Green's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.19 Real  1.02 Hype  1.19 Naive  1.18
The intrinsic value of Capstone Green's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Capstone Green's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.02
Real Value
1.31
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Capstone Green Energy helps investors to forecast how Capstone stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Capstone Green more accurately as focusing exclusively on Capstone Green's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.071.171.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.191.191.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.181.181.18
Details

Capstone Green Total Value Analysis

Capstone Green Energy is currently projected to have valuation of 54.38 M with market capitalization of 6.79 M, debt of 57.43 M, and cash on hands of 16.91 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Capstone Green fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
54.38 M
6.79 M
57.43 M
16.91 M

Capstone Green Investor Information

About 17.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Capstone Green was currently reported as 0.06. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.88. Capstone Green Energy last dividend was issued on the 22nd of October 2019. The entity had 1:10 split on the 22nd of October 2019. Based on the analysis of Capstone Green's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Capstone Green Energy is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Capstone Green Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Capstone Green has an asset utilization ratio of 69.11 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.69 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Capstone Green Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Capstone Green Ownership Allocation

Capstone Green holds a total of 18.35 Million outstanding shares. Capstone Green Energy shows 3.73 percent of its outstanding shares held by insiders and 17.2 percent owned by other corporate entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Capstone Green Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.33 M.

About Capstone Green Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capstone Green Energy. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Capstone Green Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Capstone Green's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Capstone Green's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Capstone Green. We calculate exposure to Capstone Green's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Capstone Green's related companies.
Capstone Green Energy Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, and services microturbine technology solutions for use in stationary distributed power generation and distribution networks applications worldwide. Capstone Green Energy Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Van Nuys, California. Capstone Green operates under Specialty Industrial Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 133 people.

Capstone Green Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M
Forward Price Earnings212.766
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in Capstone Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Capstone Green Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Capstone Green's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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