China Southern Valuation

CHKIF Stock  USD 0.46  0.02  4.55%   
China Southern is overvalued. China Southern Airlines shows a prevailing Real Value of $0.36 per share. The current price of the firm is $0.46. Our model approximates the value of China Southern Airlines from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.25) %, current valuation of 39.08 B, and Return On Equity of -0.31 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
0.46
Please note that China Southern's price fluctuation is out of control at this time. Calculation of the real value of China Southern Airlines is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing China Southern's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the China pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of China Southern Airlines. Since China Southern is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of China Pink Sheet. However, China Southern's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.46 Real  0.36 Hype  0.46 Naive  0.45
The real value of China Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of China Southern Airlines Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on China Southern's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of China Southern's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
0.36
Real Value
6.34
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of China Southern Airlines helps investors to forecast how China pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of China Southern more accurately as focusing exclusively on China Southern's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.460.460.46
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.466.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.010.456.43
Details

China Southern Total Value Analysis

China Southern Airlines is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 39.08 B with market capitalization of 17.33 B, debt of 38.35 B, and cash on hands of 23.29 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the China Southern fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
39.08 B
17.33 B
38.35 B
23.29 B

China Southern Investor Information

About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Southern Airlines has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2019. Based on the analysis of China Southern's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, China Southern Airlines is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

China Southern Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. China Southern has an asset utilization ratio of 31.45 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.31 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that China Southern Airlines is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

China Southern Ownership Allocation

China Southern holds a total of 4.64 Billion outstanding shares. China Southern Airlines shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 62.86 percent of China Southern Airlines outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

China Southern Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 101.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.1 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.62 B).
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates China Southern's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in China Southern and how it compares across the competition.

About China Southern Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines China Southern's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of China Southern. We calculate exposure to China Southern's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of China Southern's related companies.
China Southern Airlines Company Limited offers airline transportation services in the Peoples Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the Peoples Republic of China. China Sthn operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 97709 people.

8 Steps to conduct China Southern's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates China Southern's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct China Southern's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain China Southern's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine China Southern's revenue streams: Identify China Southern's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research China Southern's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish China Southern's growth potential: Evaluate China Southern's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine China Southern's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate China Southern's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

China Southern Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as China Southern does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.773
Forward Price Earnings14.3472
Retained Earnings2.6 B

Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis

When running China Southern's price analysis, check to measure China Southern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Southern is operating at the current time. Most of China Southern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Southern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Southern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Southern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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