ConocoPhillips Valuation

COPH34 Stock  BRL 53.88  2.49  4.85%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. ConocoPhillips shows a prevailing Real Value of R$42.77 per share. The current price of the firm is R$53.88. Our model approximates the value of ConocoPhillips from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 750.81 B, return on equity of 0.4, and Profit Margin of 0.23 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
53.88
Please note that ConocoPhillips' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of ConocoPhillips is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ConocoPhillips' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since ConocoPhillips is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ConocoPhillips Stock. However, ConocoPhillips' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  53.88 Real  42.77 Hype  51.39 Naive  49.32
The real value of ConocoPhillips Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of ConocoPhillips Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on ConocoPhillips' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of ConocoPhillips' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
42.77
Real Value
56.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ConocoPhillips helps investors to forecast how ConocoPhillips stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ConocoPhillips more accurately as focusing exclusively on ConocoPhillips' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.6752.1954.70
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.1951.3953.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
47.1249.3251.52
Details

ConocoPhillips Total Value Analysis

ConocoPhillips is currently projected to have takeover price of 750.81 B with market capitalization of 732.54 B, debt of 16.23 B, and cash on hands of 10.66 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the ConocoPhillips fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
750.81 B
732.54 B
16.23 B
10.66 B

ConocoPhillips Investor Information

The book value of the company was currently reported as 9.81. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. ConocoPhillips recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. The firm had 1:3 split on the 20th of November 2022. Based on the key indicators related to ConocoPhillips' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, ConocoPhillips is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

ConocoPhillips Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. ConocoPhillips has an asset utilization ratio of 83.66 percent. This suggests that the Company is making R$0.84 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that ConocoPhillips is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

ConocoPhillips Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 78.49 B. Net Income was 18.68 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.6 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates ConocoPhillips' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in ConocoPhillips and how it compares across the competition.

About ConocoPhillips Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines ConocoPhillips' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ConocoPhillips. We calculate exposure to ConocoPhillips's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of ConocoPhillips's related companies.
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas , and natural gas liquids worldwide. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. COPHILLIPS DRN operates under Oil Gas EP classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 10100 people.

8 Steps to conduct ConocoPhillips' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates ConocoPhillips' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct ConocoPhillips' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain ConocoPhillips' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine ConocoPhillips' revenue streams: Identify ConocoPhillips' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research ConocoPhillips' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish ConocoPhillips' growth potential: Evaluate ConocoPhillips' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine ConocoPhillips' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate ConocoPhillips' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for ConocoPhillips Stock analysis

When running ConocoPhillips' price analysis, check to measure ConocoPhillips' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConocoPhillips is operating at the current time. Most of ConocoPhillips' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConocoPhillips' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConocoPhillips' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConocoPhillips to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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