First Industrial Valuation Analysis

FR Stock  USD 62.42  -0.10  -0.16%   
First Industrial trades near a market-range earnings multiple relative to broader benchmarks, shaped by healthy profitability and manageable leverage. First Industrial's price-to-book sits at 2.94, with price-to-sales at 11.5. The trailing price-to-earnings ratio currently stands at 16.87.
Below Model Estimate
Today
62.42
The intrinsic value estimate for First Industrial Realty is based on a 3 months horizon. Extending the time horizon generally improves valuation stability.
68.46
Intrinsic Value
69.76
Current intrinsic value estimate framed by downside and upside probability thresholds.
Valuing First Industrial requires testing whether market multiples are consistent with the underlying earnings and balance-sheet profile. Using DCF, EV/EBITDA, P/E multiples, and dividend discount models reduces the risk of anchoring to one estimate. Valuing First Industrial Realty is part art and part science, combining quantitative models with qualitative assessment. A triangulated view using multiple methods anchors the decision to a more robust estimate of First Industrial's value.

Main Profitability Drivers

First Industrial's net margin stands at 21.00%, with operating margin at 53.00%. The 32.00 percentage-point gap between operating and net margins points to non-operating costs such as interest expense or taxes reducing bottom-line profitability. On $727.08 million of revenue, First Industrial earned $547.97 million in gross profit and $264.08 million on the bottom line. The company produces 6.15% on shareholders' equity and 2.66% on total assets, framing First Industrial's capital efficiency picture. Taken together, First Industrial's profitability metrics paint a balanced picture that could tilt in either direction. To dig further into these trends, see First Industrial's detailed margin analysis to evaluate margin sustainability.
 Price Book
2.94
 Gross Profit
547.97 million
 Price Sales
11.5
 Profit Margin
21.0%
 Enterprise Value Revenue
14.29

First Industrial Cash

$81.93 million
Cash stood at $78.03 million as of December 31, 2025.
As a real estate investment trust generating revenue through rental income and property portfolio performance, First Industrial's financial profile reflects the economics of that model. As an income-oriented stock in Diversified REITs, its dividend characteristics are relevant to income-focused portfolios. The analysis below connects enterprise value. profitability, and capital structure to explain what the market is pricing today.

Total Value Analysis

From a capital-structure perspective, First Industrial Realty is being framed with enterprise value of 10.64 billion, market capitalization of 8.57 billion, debt obligations near 2.57 billion, and cash-equivalent resources of 67.71 million as of latest reporting. In practice, enterprise value isolates the operating business from capital-structure noise, but only holds if the underlying debt and cash figures are stable.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash & Equivalents
10.64 billion
8.57 billion
2.57 billion
67.71 million

Investor Information

About 100.0% of FR shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of FR was currently reported as 20.8. FR had its last dividend issued on the 30th of June 2026. Earnings generation and capital deployment remain aligned with First Industrial showing moderate financial flexibility with thin profitability. Return on assets remains in positive territory, consistent with the company's business model and scale.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin53.00%42.32%
Significantly Up
High Variability
Total Cash From Operating Activities$484.4 million$461.34 million
Notably Up
Consistent Growth
Operating Income$159 million$307.71 million
Way Down
Moderate Growth

Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. First Industrial has an asset utilization ratio of 12.78 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that First Industrial Realty is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis

Using the current custom levered DCF inputs, First Industrial Realty is worth about -14.97 per share while the market is pricing it near 62.52. That leaves the shares trading about 123.9% above this model output. Current assumptions include 7.98% WACC, 4.0% perpetual growth, and about 24.76 Million of next-period free cash flow. Discounted forecast cash flows sum to about 86.96 Million before the terminal component, and present terminal value still represents roughly 83.0% of enterprise value. A divergence of this magnitude signals that the model output is heavily assumption-dependent. Since 83.0% of enterprise value rests on the terminal component, the estimate is particularly sensitive to long-term growth, margin trajectory, and discount rate assumptions.
Model Value / Share
-14.97
Equity value per share from the current custom levered DCF summary row.
Market Price
62.52
Current market price used by the same scenario.
Model Premium
123.9%
Market price sits above the model output.
WACC / LT Growth
7.98% / 4.0%
Forecast horizon: 2021 to 2030
Terminal value share of EV: 83.0%

First Industrial Market Price vs. Intrinsic Value

This chart compares observed market pricing with the model-derived equity value per share across forecast periods. It also illustrates the relative premium or discount, expressed as a percentage difference between market valuation and modeled intrinsic value.

Projected Revenue and Levered Free Cash Flow

Revenue and levered free cash flow projections are presented in billions, outlining the expected financial trajectory over the modeled horizon.

Key Model Assumptions

The inputs below reflect the core assumptions applied in the valuation model, including growth expectations, discount rates, and capital structure considerations.
InputCurrent Value
Weighted Average Cost of Capital7.98%
Long-Term Growth Rate4.0%
Cost of Equity9.31%
After-Tax Cost of Debt3.53%
Debt Weighting23.70%
Equity Weighting76.30%
Net Debt2.49 billion
Enterprise Value510.81 million
Present Terminal Value423.85 million
Terminal Value Share of EV83.0%

Forecast Detail and Valuation Progression

This table presents the underlying forecast data used in the valuation, including revenue, cash flow generation, discounting effects, and the resulting per-share value across each projected period.
YearRevenueRevenue GrowthFree Cash FlowPV of LFCFEquity Value / Share
2021476.29 million0.00%33.85 million0-14.98
2022539.93 million13.36%-111.47 million0-14.97
2023614.03 million13.72%-59.62 million0-14.97
2024669.64 million9.06%134.85 million0-14.98
2025727.08 million8.58%114.89 million0-14.97
2026779.45 million7.20%19.78 million18.32 million-14.97
2027826.6 million6.05%20.98 million17.99 million-14.97
2028868.6 million5.08%22.05 million17.51 million-14.97
2029905.66 million4.27%22.99 million16.91 million-14.97
2030938.12 million3.58%23.81 million16.22 million-14.97

Profitability Analysis

An analysis of First Industrial's profitability data, First Industrial Realty maintains a strong margin profile with a net profit margin of 21.0% and an operating margin of 53.0%, producing net income of 264.08 million. Return on equity is 6.15%. Profitability trends are stable, with recent metrics holding near prior-year levels.
 
Net Income  
 First Reported
1994-03-31
 Previous Quarter
78.85 million
 Current Value
143.1 million
 Quarterly Volatility
34.66 million
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit stood at $164.34 million as of December 31, 2025. Meanwhile, Pretax Profit Margin remains stable near 38.42%, although Net Profit Margin is broadly unchanged around 34.03%.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin43.00%22.60%
Way Up
High Variability
Operating Profit Margin53.00%42.32%
Significantly Up
High Variability
For First Industrial Realty, profitability analysis measures the relationship between revenue, cost structure, and bottom-line earnings. Net margin of 21.0% reflects solid earnings conversion and cost discipline relative to revenue. The breakdown below connects margin levels with asset efficiency and capital returns. First Industrial reports return on equity of 6.15%, positive but not at levels that signal strong capital efficiency.

Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

EPS projections for First Industrial aggregate analyst models into a benchmark against which actual results are measured. Return on equity of 12.84% provides context for how efficiently First Industrial generates earnings from shareholder capital. The gap between First Industrial's EPS and free cash flow per share signals how much of reported earnings converts to cash. First Industrial's EPS estimates are updated as new analyst reports and company disclosures become available. The EPS consensus for First Industrial Realty reflects normalized analyst expectations. Comparing this estimate against the current net margin profile (21.0%), guidance revisions, and prior forecast error reveals whether the market is pricing in improvement, stability, or deterioration. First Industrial reported estimated earnings of 0.4258 in earnings per share on 30th of June 2026. This estimate serves as the benchmark against which the next reported result will be judged by the market.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Earnings Estimation Breakdown

16 analysts contribute to the current consensus. The last reported EPS was 1.08 as of 31st of March 2026.

Last Reported EPS
1.08
0.40
Lowest
0.43
Expected EPS
0.45
Highest
Analyst estimate range around the current expected EPS projection.

Earnings Projection Consensus

Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1661.03%
1.08
0.43
2.59

Ownership Allocation

The majority of First Industrial's outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. Large asset managers, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds that invest on behalf of clients or beneficiaries are typically subject to stricter disclosure rules than retail investors - including mandatory 13F filings that reveal quarterly position changes. Tracking these filings can highlight shifts in institutional conviction around First Industrial.

Revenue and Profit Overview

FR generated yearly revenue of $727.08 million. Reported Net Income was $264.08 million with gross profit of $547.97 million.

Dividend Payment History

Analyzing how this Stock distributes profits can provide insight into shareholder return strategy. A stable payout record can reinforce investor confidence in long-term financial performance. To better understand payout patterns, it may help to see how this Stock distributes income.

What This Indicates

A 16.87 earnings multiple signals caution about near-term earnings power, a discount the market routinely applies to real estate investment trusts navigating interest rate sensitivity, real estate market cycles, and refinancing risk. This pricing is consistent with how the sector values businesses where profitability is supported by scale, recurring revenue, and platform economics. First Industrial retains 21.0% of revenue as profit, a level that provides meaningful downside protection relative to most peers in Diversified REITs. Margins at this level are characteristic of the sector and consistent with the operating model. First Industrial's 0.81 debt-to-equity ratio falls within a manageable range, though shifts in interest rates or operating cash flow could pressure that balance. First Industrial earns 6.15% on equity - positive but moderate, indicating productive capital deployment without the kind of returns that signal strong competitive advantages. First Industrial behaves differently from pure growth names - its income characteristics and stable margin profile historically reduce portfolio-level volatility. Current pricing embeds an expectation of limited or declining earnings momentum. A shift in rental income stability, occupancy trends, and the sustainability of distributions would alter the balance between what the market has priced in and what ultimately materializes.

Combined Signal Overview

The financial profile frames First Industrial Realty as a high-margin business where returns flow from the underlying operating model and scale advantages, not financial leverage and defensive income characteristics in the Diversified REITs sector. The earnings and capital-return profile places the company within the mid-range of its peer group, with performance that supports but does not clearly exceed current valuation levels. The disconnect between healthy margins and below-average return on equity points to an overcapitalized balance sheet or recent investment that has not yet converted into proportional shareholder returns. The data points to a fundamentally sound business - First Industrial's valuation is well supported at current levels, with the forward trajectory tied to rental income stability, occupancy trends, and the sustainability of distributions.

Valuation Framework, Methodology & Assumptions

First Industrial is a mid-cap equity in Diversified REITs, Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), Real Estate categories. Market multiples reflect competitive positioning. Current valuation multiples for First Industrial include P/S of 11.5, enterprise value (TTM) of 10.64 billion.

First Industrial Realty figures are aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Valuation outputs are model-derived and depend on published assumptions and reference inputs.

The analysis above is generated by quantitative models and is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an endorsement to buy or sell any security. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. See our Terms of Use for full details.

Financial data referenced in this analysis is derived from publicly available SEC filings, audited financial statements, and third-party market data providers. The intrinsic value estimate is generated by Macroaxis quantitative models that incorporate fundamental analysis, technical indicators, and risk metrics.

The methodology combines multiple analytical inputs:

  • Fundamental analysis - financial statements, profitability ratios, debt structure, and cash flow metrics sourced from SEC filings and public financial reports
  • Technical indicators - historical price patterns, momentum signals, and volatility measures
  • Risk assessment - probability of bankruptcy models, market risk metrics, and downside scenario analysis
  • Peer comparison - relative valuation against industry peers using standardized multiples

Model outputs are refreshed periodically as new financial data becomes available. Past model performance is not indicative of future results. The intrinsic value estimate reflects a point-in-time calculation and should be considered alongside other research and professional advice.

Data sourced from SEC filings (EDGAR), public financial statements, and market data providers.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board

Growth Indicators

A growth thesis around First Industrial Realty warrants careful testing because strong valuation often embeds the assumption that the business can keep compounding faster than peers. A complete growth assessment compares growth rates with margins, cash generation, and the cost of sustaining that expansion.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.5 million
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y199.7%
Forward Price Earnings36.7647

First Industrial Current Valuation Indicators

Evaluating First Industrial's value means testing whether the share price matches the economics of the actual business. Quantitative valuation narrows the range of reasonable outcomes by cross-referencing multiple model-based signals. Reported values are derived from company filings, audited financial statements, and market data, and are standardized within Macroaxis quantitative models for consistency. Model outputs reflect a point-in-time estimate based on available data and assumptions and should be interpreted alongside changes in operating performance, market conditions, and forward expectations.

Additional Tools for First Industrial Stock Analysis