Fiesta Restaurant Group Valuation

FRGIDelisted Stock  USD 8.06  0.05  0.62%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Fiesta Restaurant shows a prevailing Real Value of $6.86 per share. The current price of the firm is $8.06. Our model computes the value of Fiesta Restaurant from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.01) %, current valuation of 346.31 M, and Shares Outstanding of 26.19 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
8.06
Please note that Fiesta Restaurant's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fiesta Restaurant is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fiesta Restaurant's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Fiesta Restaurant is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fiesta Stock. However, Fiesta Restaurant's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.06 Real  6.86 Hype  8.06 Naive  8.62
The intrinsic value of Fiesta Restaurant's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Fiesta Restaurant's stock price.
6.86
Real Value
8.87
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fiesta Restaurant Group helps investors to forecast how Fiesta stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fiesta Restaurant more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fiesta Restaurant's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.868.088.30
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.068.068.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.628.628.62
Details

Fiesta Restaurant Total Value Analysis

Fiesta Restaurant Group is currently forecasted to have valuation of 346.31 M with market capitalization of 222.35 M, debt of 155.78 M, and cash on hands of 39.26 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Fiesta Restaurant fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
346.31 M
222.35 M
155.78 M
39.26 M

Fiesta Restaurant Investor Information

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fiesta Restaurant has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.25. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Fiesta Restaurant's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Fiesta Restaurant Group is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

Fiesta Restaurant Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Fiesta signifies not a very effective usage of assets in November.

Fiesta Restaurant Ownership Allocation

The majority of Fiesta Restaurant Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Fiesta Restaurant to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Fiesta Restaurant. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Fiesta Restaurant Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Fiesta Restaurant Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 387.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 73.53 M.

About Fiesta Restaurant Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Fiesta Stock, attempts to find the value of Fiesta Restaurant based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Fiesta Restaurant's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fiesta Restaurant's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fiesta Restaurant. We calculate exposure to Fiesta Restaurant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Fiesta Restaurant's related companies.
Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises fast-casual restaurants. Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Dallas, Texas. Fiesta Restaurant operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4480 people.

Fiesta Restaurant Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.7
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Fiesta Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Fiesta Restaurant check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fiesta Restaurant's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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