Fiesta Restaurant Group Volatility
| FRGIDelisted Stock | USD 8.06 0.05 0.62% |
We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Fiesta Restaurant Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Fiesta Restaurant's Coefficient Of Variation of 1193335.99, downside deviation of 2.79, and Mean Deviation of 2.26 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Fiesta Restaurant's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 360 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Fiesta Restaurant Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Fiesta daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Fiesta's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Fiesta Restaurant volatility.
Fiesta |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Fiesta Restaurant at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Fiesta stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Fiesta Stock
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Fiesta Restaurant Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Fiesta Restaurant's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Fiesta stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Fiesta stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Fiesta Restaurant's beta of 1.52 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Fiesta Restaurant stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Fiesta Restaurant Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.04 and Jensen Alpha of -0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fiesta Restaurant's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fiesta Restaurant's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Fiesta Restaurant Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Fiesta Restaurant correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Fiesta Beta |
Fiesta standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Fiesta Restaurant's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Fiesta Restaurant's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in fiesta stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Fiesta Restaurant.
Fiesta Restaurant Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Fiesta Restaurant delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Fiesta Restaurant's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Fiesta Restaurant's stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Fiesta Restaurant's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of delisted stock volatility measures Fiesta Restaurant's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Fiesta Restaurant's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Fiesta Restaurant's current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Fiesta Restaurant's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Fiesta Restaurant Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5187 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fiesta Restaurant will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fiesta Restaurant or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fiesta Restaurant's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fiesta delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Fiesta Restaurant Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Fiesta Restaurant Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Fiesta Restaurant Stock Return Volatility
Fiesta Restaurant historical daily return volatility represents how much of Fiesta Restaurant delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7608% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Fiesta Restaurant Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Fiesta Restaurant or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Fiesta Restaurant may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Fiesta's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Fiesta Restaurant and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Fiesta Restaurant fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises fast-casual restaurants. Fiesta Restaurant Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Dallas, Texas. Fiesta Restaurant operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4480 people.
Fiesta Restaurant's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Fiesta Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Fiesta Restaurant's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Fiesta Restaurant's volatility to invest better
Higher Fiesta Restaurant's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Fiesta Restaurant stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Fiesta Restaurant stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Fiesta Restaurant investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Fiesta Restaurant's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Fiesta Restaurant's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Fiesta Restaurant Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.76 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Fiesta Restaurant Group. 0 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Fiesta Restaurant. You can use Fiesta Restaurant Group to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Fiesta Restaurant to be traded at $8.87 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Fiesta Restaurant Group and DJI is 0.4 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fiesta Restaurant Group and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Fiesta Restaurant Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fiesta Restaurant's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fiesta Restaurant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Fiesta Restaurant stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0074 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0036 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1193335.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Fiesta Restaurant Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Fiesta Restaurant as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Fiesta Restaurant's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Fiesta Restaurant's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Fiesta Restaurant Group.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Other Consideration for investing in Fiesta Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Fiesta Restaurant check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fiesta Restaurant's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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