Canada Goose Valuation

GOOS Stock  CAD 13.29  0.05  0.38%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Canada Goose Holdings shows a prevailing Real Value of C$11.91 per share. The current price of the firm is C$13.29. Our model approximates the value of Canada Goose Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 2.14 B, return on equity of 0.2, and Profit Margin of 0.05 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Canada Goose's valuation include:
Price Book
3.6758
Enterprise Value
2.1 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.9965
Price Sales
0.9682
Forward PE
9.2251
Overvalued
Today
13.29
Please note that Canada Goose's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Canada Goose Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Canada Goose's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Canada Goose is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Canada Stock. However, Canada Goose's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.29 Real  11.91 Hype  13.26 Naive  12.62
The intrinsic value of Canada Goose's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Canada Goose's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.91
Real Value
14.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Canada Goose Holdings helps investors to forecast how Canada stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Canada Goose more accurately as focusing exclusively on Canada Goose's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.221.501.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4713.2616.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.8312.6215.41
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Canada Goose's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Canada Goose's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Canada Goose's closest peers.

Canada Goose Cash

157.9 Million

Canada Valuation Trend

Knowing Canada Goose's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Canada Goose's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Canada Goose Total Value Analysis

Canada Goose Holdings is currently estimated to have takeover price of 2.14 B with market capitalization of 1.28 B, debt of 728.4 M, and cash on hands of 160.1 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Canada Goose fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.14 B
1.28 B
728.4 M
160.1 M

Canada Goose Investor Information

About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Canada Goose was currently reported as 3.7. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Canada Goose's historical financial statements, Canada Goose Holdings is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.110.0933
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income117.5 M124.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Canada Goose Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Canada Goose has an asset utilization ratio of 90.02 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.9 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Canada Goose Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Canada Goose Ownership Allocation

Canada Goose holds a total of 45.8 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Canada Goose Holdings outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Canada Goose Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Canada Goose. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Canada Goose Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Canada Goose Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.33 B. Net Income was 58.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 733.6 M.

About Canada Goose Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canada Goose Holdings. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Canada Goose Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Canada Goose's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Canada Goose's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Canada Goose. We calculate exposure to Canada Goose's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Canada Goose's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit917.4 M498.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.11 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.69  0.46 

Canada Goose Quarterly Retained Earnings

179.9 Million

When determining whether Canada Goose Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Canada Goose's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Canada Goose's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Canada Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Canada Goose Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Canada Goose's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Canada Goose is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Canada Goose's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.