Kingsway Financial Valuation

KFS Stock  USD 8.98  0.03  0.33%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Kingsway Financial secures a last-minute Real Value of $4.91 per share. The latest price of the firm is $8.98. Our model forecasts the value of Kingsway Financial from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 309.7 M, profit margin of (0.09) %, and Return On Equity of -0.26 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Kingsway Financial's valuation include:
Price Book
24.9148
Enterprise Value
309.7 M
Price Sales
2.2794
Enterprise Value Revenue
2.8483
Overvalued
Today
8.98
Please note that Kingsway Financial's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Kingsway Financial is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Kingsway Financial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Kingsway stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Kingsway Financial Services. Since Kingsway Financial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kingsway Stock. However, Kingsway Financial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.98 Real  4.91 Target  1.0 Hype  8.94 Naive  9.1
The intrinsic value of Kingsway Financial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kingsway Financial's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
4.91
Real Value
9.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kingsway Financial Services helps investors to forecast how Kingsway stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kingsway Financial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kingsway Financial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.668.959.25
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.088.9410.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.249.1010.96
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
0.911.001.11
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Kingsway Financial's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Kingsway Financial's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Kingsway Financial's closest peers.

Kingsway Financial Cash

8.64 Million

Kingsway Valuation Trend

Kingsway Financial's real value is important for investors to make better decisions and a more accurate overall view of Kingsway Financial's financial worth over time. Using both Kingsway Financial's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauge the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing conclusions.

Kingsway Financial Total Value Analysis

Kingsway Financial Services is now forecasted to have company total value of 309.7 M with market capitalization of 247.6 M, debt of 45.61 M, and cash on hands of 64.17 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Kingsway Financial fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
309.7 M
247.6 M
45.61 M
64.17 M

Kingsway Financial Investor Information

About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.29. Kingsway Financial last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2009. The entity had 1:4 split on the 5th of July 2012. Based on the analysis of Kingsway Financial's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Kingsway Financial Services is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in December.

Kingsway Financial Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The newest return on assets of Kingsway implies not a very effective usage of assets in November.
 
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Kingsway Financial Ownership Allocation

Kingsway Financial maintains a total of 27.57 Million outstanding shares. Kingsway Financial Services holds significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Kingsway Financial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 109.12 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 24.01 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 66.96 M.

About Kingsway Financial Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Kingsway Financial's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Kingsway Financial based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Kingsway Financial. We calculate exposure to Kingsway Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Kingsway Financial's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit82.1 M78 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Operating Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Net Profit Margin 0.23  0.24 
Gross Profit Margin 0.80  1.01 

Kingsway Financial Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Kingsway Financial does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.4 M

Kingsway Financial Current Valuation Indicators

Kingsway Financial's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Kingsway Financial's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Kingsway Financial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Kingsway Financial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Kingsway Financial's worth.

Additional Tools for Kingsway Stock Analysis

When running Kingsway Financial's price analysis, check to measure Kingsway Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingsway Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Kingsway Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingsway Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingsway Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingsway Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.