MGP Ingredients Valuation

M1I Stock  EUR 21.46  0.24  1.13%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. MGP Ingredients secures a last-minute Real Value of €17.48 per share. The latest price of the firm is €21.46. Our model forecasts the value of MGP Ingredients from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of (0.03) %, and Return On Equity of -0.0172 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
0.6271
Enterprise Value
690.1 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.2947
Price Sales
0.7905
Forward PE
8.6356
Overvalued
Today
21.46
Please note that MGP Ingredients' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of MGP Ingredients is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MGP Ingredients' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the MGP stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of MGP Ingredients. Since MGP Ingredients is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of MGP Stock. However, MGP Ingredients' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.46 Real  17.48 Hype  21.45 Naive  21.22
The real value of MGP Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of MGP Ingredients Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on MGP Ingredients' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of MGP Ingredients' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
17.48
Real Value
23.61
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MGP Ingredients helps investors to forecast how MGP stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MGP Ingredients more accurately as focusing exclusively on MGP Ingredients' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.400.400.40
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1621.4523.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.9321.2223.51
Details

MGP Ingredients Cash

18.06 Million

MGP Ingredients Total Value Analysis

MGP Ingredients is now estimated to have takeover price of 690.06 M with market capitalization of 457.59 M, debt of 6.4 M, and cash on hands of 2.28 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the MGP Ingredients fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
690.06 M
457.59 M
6.4 M
2.28 M

MGP Ingredients Investor Information

About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MGP Ingredients has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.11. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.53. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Based on the key indicators related to MGP Ingredients' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, MGP Ingredients is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities61.7 M117.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income102.1 M189.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

MGP Ingredients Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MGP Ingredients has an asset utilization ratio of 50.05 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.5 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MGP Ingredients is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

MGP Ingredients Profitability Analysis

Based on MGP Ingredients' profitability indicators, MGP Ingredients may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess MGP Ingredients' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2019-09-30
Previous Quarter
14.4 M
Current Value
15.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
15.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 176.4 M
For MGP Ingredients profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of MGP Ingredients to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well MGP Ingredients utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between MGP Ingredients's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of MGP Ingredients over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

MGP Ingredients Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing MGP Ingredients' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across MGP Ingredients' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for MGP Ingredients is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
MGP Ingredients is projected to generate 0.4 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. MGP Ingredients earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected MGP Ingredients EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on MGP Ingredients' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as MGP Ingredients, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

MGP Ingredients Ownership Allocation

MGP Ingredients maintains a total of 21.29 Million outstanding shares. The majority of MGP Ingredients outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in MGP Ingredients to benefit from reduced commissions. Therefore, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in MGP Ingredients. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of MGP Ingredients as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost one million three hundred five thousand three hundred fourty-two invesors are currently shorting MGP Ingredients expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

MGP Ingredients Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 703.62 M. Net Income was 34.66 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 225.62 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates MGP Ingredients' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in MGP Ingredients and how it compares across the competition.

About MGP Ingredients Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines MGP Ingredients' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MGP Ingredients. We calculate exposure to MGP Ingredients's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MGP Ingredients's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit329.3 M176.4 M

MGP Ingredients Quarterly Retained Earnings

582.97 Million

Complementary Tools for MGP Stock analysis

When running MGP Ingredients' price analysis, check to measure MGP Ingredients' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGP Ingredients is operating at the current time. Most of MGP Ingredients' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGP Ingredients' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGP Ingredients' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGP Ingredients to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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